of construction of the residences) may yield useful results.
Lack of information on population and housing is a particular handicap
in the rapidly urbanising areas of developing countries. Even the results of
decennial censuses are of only limited value in cases where a population growth
of fifty per cent between censuses may be considered normal, and examples
of over a hundred per cent not out of the question (Masser 1974). In such
circumstances it is necessary to explore survey methods suitable for updating
census material. There is also a need for short term forecasting methods based
on the extrapolation of trends derived from sequential data on population and
housing. The idea of using aerial photographs for this purpose is not new, but
the yield of methodological publications in this field is extremely meager
(Kraus et al 1974). Experts from census offices, and demographers, do not
seem to consider it their task to develop a methodology for this. Geographers
of the ecological school hardly use aerial photographs, so little can be expected
from that quarter. Consultants from the industrial world, when faced with the
lack of information, use aerial photographs without having the time to go
deeper into the methodological aspects of their application (D'Alleux et al
1975). However, to enable wider use of aerial photographs to occur in this
field, it is necessary to increase research. The correlation between the classi-
fications of residential areas based on artefacts and on socio-economic char-
acteristics of the population, as well as the homogeneity within these classes,
has been mentioned. Other questions will be indicated here briefly. When inter-
preting aerial photographs, it is not always possible to distinguish between
residential-like and residential-real, certainly not by reason of the mixture
with home industry and retail activities. What is therefore the best operational
definition of “residential”? And what, for a particular class of residential
area is the most suitable characteristic for measuring the size of that area? Is
it the housing unit that can be counted, or does measuring the area occupied
by these houses with their inner courts and yards provide better results? What
are the implications of using a crossgrid for area measurement (see figures 2
and 3)? If interpretation and measurement are repeated by the same (or by
another) interpreter, how different will the result be? What kinds of errors
are made by the interpreters?
Once the measurements have been made on the aerial photographs,
these data have to be converted into population data. One should therefore,