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Castaldini, Doriano
The main and auxiliary storage basin is completely bordered by embankments about 6 km long and 4-5 m high that were
constructed to increase the capacity of the storage area.
d) a downstream barrier: a transverse structure constructed downstream from the regulating dam and which serves the
purpose of maintaining the river bed level, thus ensuring protection against bed erosion.
e) a selective barrier: a structure constructed upstream from the regulating dam which consists of a transverse net which
serves to prevent large plants and trees from blocking or interrupting the discharge from the apertures in the regulating
structure.
The flow regulation system has not yet been tested as to its efficiency under the flood conditions for which it was built,
anyhow since this hydraulic structures have been in operation no floods have occurred.
3.2 Meteorological data
On the basis of the database it was not possible to forecast floods on the basis of merely precipitation. The three
recorded floods are concentrated around the months September and November (Nov. 1966, Sept. 1972 and Sept. 1973)
(Fig. 3). The question is if it is possible to identify a
trigger mechanism (e.g. exceedence of a threshold
quantity of precipitation or critical stage) to which
the 3 more recent floods comply. This does not seem
the case: the September events stand apart from the
one that took place in November. A good illustration
is the fact that e.g. in 1966 a flood occurred under
meteorological circumstances which were far from
exceptional. It appears however that soil moisture
conditions play a role in the process. The two floods
that occurred at the beginning of the wet season
came after extreme amounts of precipitation, in some
cases the highest amounts ever observed. The other
flood (November 1966) occurred after much less
intense precipitation, but were preceded by wet
periods. Therefore (partial) saturation of soil storage
capacity throughout the study area, would favour
runoff. Antecedent soil moisture conditions could, in Figure 3. Brosch in the embankments of the Panaro river
combination with precipitation, play an important ^j occasion of the flood occurred on 25-09-1973 (Moratti
role in the triggering of an event. Further study of ^ $ Pellegrini, 1977).
soil moisture could aid confirmation of this surmise.
There is however a fairly linear relationship between the amount of precipitation that falls immediately prior to the event
and the magnitude of peak discharge.
Flood forecasting on the basis of (daily) rain intensities along with information on the saturation of soils (e.g. the freatic
water-level) will probably give more satisfying results, since the events that occurred directly after the dry season (Sept.
72 and 73) were accompanied by much larger quantities of precipitation than other event, which was preceded by
relatively wet months.
4 MODELLING OF FLOOD PROPAGATION
In general flood control strategies range from correlation of flood potential by means of simple descriptive indices to
more sophisticated analyses of flow and sediment transport (Dunne, 1988). These two extremes coincide with the two
main types of flood forecasting: 1) on the basis of frequency relationships; and 2) on the basis of dynamic models. In the
first statements are made on the basis of statistical relationships (e.g. Meigh ef al., 1997 (recurrence intervals); Jiang,
1998 (probability of flood release due to overtopping)). In the second usually conceptually physically-based runoff
models (also conceptual rainfall-runoff models, also CRRMs; Franchini & Galeati, 1997) are used that transform
precipitation input into a quantitative description of stream response (E.g. Bentura & Michel, 1997; Gôppert et al.
1998; Romaniwicz & Beven, 1998; Peschke, 1998; Chang & Hwang, 1999; Estrela Monreal, 1999). These forecast
models aim at providing forecasts for a discharge hydrograph. Samuels (1998) notes the importance of hydrological
International Archives of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing. Vol. XXXIII, Part B7. Amsterdam 2000. 231