3 T T T T T T T
- Without yields ts
T T T \ T T T 5 T T 7
Without yields k\ With yields z /
© = N OO A O00 O
T
|
F
ett
/
zi NN / Logistic
Expected Value for Normal Distribution
&
-L
Estimate of Ln(Yield)
T
ELLE
ß
T
Impact on Ln (Yield) or on "LN"
T
s
|
1 2 1 L if 1 1 -3 l 1
6 b 15. 16. 5 0 5 10 15 C 0 5 10 15
. Count Count x Slope in orchard (%)
m
Estimate
Figure 11. — Regression model results based on 29 sites with positive
yield data and extrapolation to sites with “0” yields":
a: Z-scores of mango yields.
b: Probability to expect a certain mango yield.
c: Impact by slope on the Linear Part (LN) of the logistic
model and on the Ln(yield) estimates of the regression
model.
7. Multiple linear regression to predict Ln(Yield+1)
Both presented models include terrain, texture and water holding capacity co-
variables. Testing of their interactions proved useful just as the term ‘canopy cover
x use of a tractor for weeding’ (based on Figure 7%). Use of a motor sprayer
occurred only when pruning was done and the two co-variables were re-combined
into 2 new ones. The 10 variables included in the provisional model explained
89% (Adjusted-R?) of the total variability of yields (Table 3).
Table 3. Linear multiple regression results of Ln(Yield+1) of mango
Adjusted multiple R^: 0.893
Cases are weighted by (96 of mando trees/orchard x orchard size).
Effect Coefficient | P(2 Tail) | R^when entered
Constant -1.109 0.330
If spraying by motor sprayer AND pruning done 1.139 0.000 49
Year effect (1=good, O=normal, -1=bad) 1.165 0.000 66
If sprayed with Azodrin 1.322 0.000 73
If not in hills AND if poor water holding capacity -1.845 0.000 78
If weeded by tractor MULTIPLIED BY canopy cover 0.008 0.004 82
If ability to apply supplementary irrigation water 0.777 0.001 85
If on footslopes -0.398 0.076 87
pH of the top-soil 0.354 0.004 89
If poor water holding capacity 0.870 0.013 91.5
If pruning done AND not sprayed by motor sprayer) 0.523 0.033 92
The one-sample t test of model residuals showed that the mean of -0.40 is not
significantly different from zero (P = 1.5%). The Kolmogorov-Smirnov One Sample
(2-tail) Test using the Normal (-0.40,1.05) distribution suggested a probability of
334 International Archives of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing. Vol. XXXIII, Part B7. Amsterdam 2000.