de Bie, Kees
Soil texture and the use of NPKs are noticeably missing in the model. Their
absence is due to the already high amount of variability explained, the relatively
low number of orchards with yields, and their possible correlation with included
variables, e.g. the relation between texture, terrain and WHC.
8. Yield gap and yield constraints
Before evaluation of the model, interacting variables were pooled to establish their
combined effect on yields. The combined effects are labeled as ‘location’ and
‘pruning + use of a motor sprayer’ (Table 4).
Quantification of effects by variable on yields is based on comparing the ‘best’
value that occurred amongst the 45 sites surveyed with the ‘average’ value. For
instance, if 9 farmers used Azodrin, the ‘average’ value would become 9/45 or 0.2
while the ‘best’ value remains 1. The constraint specific yield gap is the difference
between the two values.
Table 4. Quantified break-down of the mango yield gap by yield
constraint (‘000 Bath/ha; 1993 season)
Ln(Yield+1) Yield
ffi measured | m.valuesx | . al ield
Independents coer'^| values coeff. yle % 17°
cient gap c gap
avg. best | avg. best
Constant|-1.109] 1.000 1 1.11 -1.11
If spraying by motor sprayer AND
pruning done
If pruning done AND not sprayed by
motor sprayer)
1.139] 0.178 1 020 1.14
0.523} 0.356 1 0.19. 0.32
ombined effect of 'pruning * use 0.39 1.14] 0.75 | 13% 45
of a motor sprayer’
If poor water holding capacity 0.870] 0.289 1 0.25 0.87
If on footslopes -0.398] 0.444 1 -0.18 -0.40
If not in hills AND if poor water
holding capacity -1.845] 0.156 0 -0.29 0.00
Combined effect of 'location' -0.21 0.87] 1.08 | 18% 65
Year effect (1=good, 0=avg., -1=bad) 1.165] -0.067 1 -0.08 1.17] 1.24 | 21% 74
If sprayed with Azodrin 1.322% 0.200-..1 0.26 1.32] 1.06 | 18% 63
If weeded by tractor MULTIPLIED BY
canopy cover (%)
If ability to apply supplementary
irrigation water
0.008] 38.44 95 0.31 0.76] 0.45 | 8% 27
0.777} 0.267 1 0.21 0.78] 0.57 | 10% 34
pH of the top-soil 0.354] 6.000 8 2.12 283] 0.71 | 12% 42
Ln(Yield+1):] 1.89 5.86
Estimated yield '000 Bath/ha: 6 351
Actual yield '000 Bath/ha: 23 250) 227
Sum: 100% 351
Environmental factors (location and pH) in the model explain 30% of the yield gap,
management factors 49% and the year effect (species attribute) 21%. The total
estimated yield gap (best-average) follows from an Ln(Yield+1) value of 5.86,
336
International Archives of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing. Vol. XXXIII, Part B7. Amsterdam 2000.