4. CONCLUSIONS
A prototype CGMS was developed which could assimilate
spatial inputs of weather, soil, crop management, RS-derived
crop distribution and link it with wheat simulation model
WTGROWS to generate crop parameters and yield maps on a
Windows platform. The crop simulation was carried out at each
grid, in this case 5’X5’ size.
A procedure for using RS derived crop spectral profile and
CGMS derived LAI profiles for estimating the important crop
management input of date of sowing at district level was
demonstrated. The RS-CGMS-derived phenology, its variation
amongst districts, and derived sowing dates were consistent :
with results from various field studies. The incorporation
district-wise dates of sowing and N fertilizer application
improved yield prediction.
The simulation model was able to capture the variability in
wheat yield within and across districts and the grid-wise
weights derived from wheat distribution map allowed for
estimation of average district level yields.
The developed CGMS could be an important tool in crop
monitoring and yield prediction at different spatial scales. At
very fine resolution, CGMS can capture spatial variability in
yield at farm / group of farms level for implementing precision
crop management and at very coarse resolution it can forecast
change in crop growth patterns due to global climate change.
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors wish to acknowledge Dr N. Kalra and Dr P.K.
Aggarwal of Centre for Applications of System Simulation,
Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi for
providing the model WTGROWS and sharing their expertise in
its implementation. A great deal of encouragement and
guidance was provided by Shri J.S. Parihar, Group Director,
Agricultural Resources Group in carrying out this study.