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IAPRS & SIS, Vol.34, Part 7, “Resource and Environmental Monitoring”, Hyderabad, India,2002
Figure 3: Comparison of observed sugar yield with various
predicted for sugar beet fields in 1995 and 1996
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Observed sugar yield (t/ha)
However, no significant relation was found between observed
and predicted sugar yield by other methods. It may be due to
1995 Field B, where water stress was observed and the water
cloud model predicted an LAI value vary different from the
observed value.
8.3.2 Extension of sugar yield prediction to other fields in
1995
In 1995, a questionaire, along with a SPOT and an ERS SAR
image was sent to farmers growing beet on 25 fields, asking
them to send information about variety, soil type, sowing and
harvest date, irrigation, root and sugar yield. A complete
response was received for 12 fields and this information was
used to predict yield by Werker and Jaggard model (1997)
(Table 3).
Table 3: Sugar yield prediction for 12 Sugar beet fields near
Broom’s Barn in 1995
Serial |IACS |Sowing |Harvest |Observed|ERS |SPOT
No. |no. Yield
(t/ha)
I|TL .|23.3.95 |01.10.95 6.31: 777 8.9
7565
A|TL |20.3.95 |02.12.95 6.8| 11.8 114
7564
3|TL |18.3.95 |22.10.95 6.7] 8.4 9.3
7469
4|TL [19.3.95 |28.10.95 6.4| 103 8.1
7468
SITL- 127.395 {10.1095 7.9| 89} 10.6
9269
6|TL [30.3.95 [10.12.95 8.5} 10.9 10.2
9369
7[TL |02.4.95 |20.12.95 8.3}; 10.5 11.9
9268
S,1L_..124.3.95 |12.11.95 | 13.0| 14.5 14.8
7967
9iTL = 122.3.95 {15.12.95 11.0| 12.6 12.1
7868
IO TL. .|21.3.95. 125.12.95 6.0] 9.9 7.2
7767
11|TL. |27.3.95 {20.10.95 69] 9.7 8.8
7365
12|TL. [29.3.95 [28.10.95 6.6] 11.4 7.4
[7364 | | | bdo os]
Correlation coefficients of 0.77 and 0.88 was found between
observed and predicted sugar yield by ERS SAR and SPOT
respectively. No correction factor (k) was used: this accounts
for yield losses during harvesting and storage. This may be the
reason that predicted yield was larger than observed yield.
8.3.3 Extension of sugar yield prediction to other fields in
1996
In 1996, fifteen sugar beet fields were used to predict sugar
yield. This year only one SPOT image was available due to
cloud cover. Nine sugar beet ground truth data were taken from
a map of land use made during the summer.
Correlation coefficient of 0.72 was found between observed
sugar yield and predicted by combined data (SPOT and ERS)
(Figure 4). This is agreement with other studies, like Dockter
and Kuhbauch (1990) who suggested combining SPOT and
SAR data to predict yield with weather data. Combinations of
radar and optical data also have the advantage of filling the
gaps between cloudy periods and can improve yield predictions
(Bouman, 1992; Kohl et al., 1994; Wooding et al., 1997).
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6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Observed sugar yieid (t/ha)
Figure 4: Observed vs predicted sugar yield by combined ERS
SAR and SPOT for 15 sugar beet fields near IACR-Broom's
Barn in 1996
9. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS
Comparison of the predicted values and measured data together
with their error analysis for 1995 and 1996 experiments
demonstrated that ERS-1 and ERS-2 SAR data can be used in
the water cloud model to estimate LAI with an acceptable
accuracy and thus has the potential for operational application
to predict sugar beet yield. The modified version of Leeuwen
and Clevers’ (1994) model (Xu et al., 1996) worked well for
the 1995 and 1996 experiments.
ERS SAR data can be used in crop monitoring and yield
prediction. The predictions are less accurate than with optical
data but cloud cover does not affect the data availability. For
example, in 1996 only one SPOT image was available for the
season but there could be as many radar images as there were
overpasses. SPOT data are also expensive.
The yield prediction model needs to be improved by including
a correction factor (k) to accommodate storage and other losses
after harvest. It also needs to be robust and should be tested in