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IAPRS & SIS, Vol.34, Part 7, “Resource and Environmental Monitoring”, Hyderabad, India,2002 
surface water salinity data at designated points were used to 
generate iso-haline surfaces within a GIS environment. 
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Figure 3. Computational framework for the shrimp-paddy 
: system 
The base condition in this case is a situation where the dry 
season flow of the Gorai is close to zero, which is 
representative of the hydrological condition of the river in the 
1997-98 hydrological year. The models were also run for its 
different flow regimes. The simulated salinity data for the Gorai 
flows of 60, 100 and 150 m?/s were used to produce the 
corresponding salinity intrusion maps. The different salinity 
levels available on the continuous iso-haline surface were 
grouped together into salinity ranges showing areas of «5ppt, 5- 
10ppt, 10-15ppt, 15-20ppt and >20ppt as shown in Figure 4. 
3.3 Land-use classification 
In the base flow conditions, the major land use classes are 
generated from the classification of a combination of various 
satellite imagery. The main sources of data listed in Table 6. A 
combination of image processing techniques, extensive field 
information, knowledge of hydrology, groundwater condition, 
existing agricultural practices, GIS data layers of salinity, land 
type, river networks, etc., were used in the classification of the 
imagery. 
For the dry season landuse, four Landsat TM images covering 
the entire study area were used. Using all bands except the TM 
thermal band, the permanent water class including rivers and 
beels or waterbodies were classified. Unsupervised methods of 
classification of the rest of the image (excluding the 
Sunderbans mangrove forest) produced 30 classes. The six final 
classes identified are as follows: permanent water, Boro rice, 
mixed winter crop, bare fallow land, fallow land with 
grass/stubble, and aquatic vegetation. The Bagda shrimp farms 
were classified from the ERS-2 radar image of 18 May, 1999. 
The dry season land use map is shown in Figure 5. For the 
monsoon land use including the aman rice crop, ERS-2 radar 
image classification was used as dense cloud cover exists 
throughout the monsoon. Field information was used to extract 
signatures from the multi-temporal radar image set. The images 
were classified into permanent water areas, Bagda, Aman and 
“other vegetation” class as shown in Figure 6 (EGIS & 
SPARRSO, 2001). The rural settlements and bagda farms were 
on-screen digitized from IRS panchromatic images. The 
settlements were identified by the presence of large trees 
surrounding the villages and the high boundaries of the Golda 
ponds and their rectangular shapes were used for the visual 
interpretation of the Golda ponds. 
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Salinity (ppt) 
Figure 4. Surface water salinity at different flows of the 
Gorai River 
  
Classification Source Image Date of Source Image 
  
Dry season land use Landsat -5 TM February, 1999 
Bagda shrimp farms ERS -2 SAR May, 1999 
Monsoon land use ERS 2 SAR May and August, 1999 
Rural settlement and IRS-1D Pan January to March, 1998 
Golda shrimp farms 
  
Table 6. Image dataset used for land use mapping 
3.4 Cropping pattern map 
Both the dry and wet season landuse-landcover raster layers 
were combined to generate a cropping pattern layer of the study 
area on the basis of ‘expert’ and field knowledge. The cropping 
pattern was simplified in order to show the following major 
land use classes relevant for this study. The “major production 
regimes” that are identified through this process are: 
(1)Bagda/Aman, (2)Bagda/Bagda, (3)Aman, (4)Golda/Boro, 
(5)Aman/Boro. “Other land use” are termed as follows: Mixed 
Crops, Other Vegetation, Settlements, Mangroves, Beels/small 
rivers. 
3.5 Other models and sub-models 
Land-use allocation sub-model: For each flow condition 
under consideration, the model shows the distribution of the 
land use classes among the various salinity regimes and allows 
for land use allocation based on the strategies. This is done by a 
GIS overlay of the salinity map and the land use map. With 
knowledge of this distribution, areas under each salinity class 
may be allocated to a particular land use. Allocation is done 
only in the areas under the “major crop regimes”. The areas 
under “other land use”, as determined above, are not variable. 
The allocation schemes are determined by a land use strategy 
under consideration during a model run. 
Economic assessment model: The model calculates the return 
from different production regimes including paddy, shrimp and 
fish under different salinity classes. Production of crops varies 
according to salinity. The average yield for different crops are 
adjusted for different salinity classes. The economic return 
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