IDENTIFYING AND MAPPING SYSTEMATIC ERRORS IN PASSIVE
MICROWAVE SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT OBSERVATIONS
James Foster, 2,3Chaojiao Sun, #Jeffrey P Walker, /.3Richard Kelly, 1,3 Jairui Dong, and I Alfred Chang
! Hydrological Sciences Branch, Laboratory for Hydrospheric Processes
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, 20771 USA
2Global Modeling and Assimilation Office
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, 20771 USA
3Goddard Earth Sciences and Technology Center
University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, Maryland 21250, USA
4Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, 3010 Australia
KEYWORDS: passive microwave, snowpack, snow crystals, systematic errors, snow water equivalent
ABSTRACT:
Understanding remote sensing retrieval errors is important for correct interpretation of observations, and successful
assimilation of observations into numerical models. Passive microwave sensors onboard satellites can provide global
snow water equivalent (SWE) observations day or night and under cloudy conditions. However, there are errors
associated with the passive microwave measurements, which are well known but have not been adequately quantified
so far. This study proposes a new algorithm for passive microwave SWE retrievals that removes known systematic
errors. Specifically, we consider the impact of vegetation cover and snow crystal growth on passive microwave
responses. As a case study, systematic errors (difference between the old and new algorithms) are presented for the
snow season 1990-91. Standard error propagation theory is used to estimate the uncertainty in the new retrieval
algorithm (not shown here). An unbiased SWE dataset is produced and monthly SWE error maps (October-May) are
derived for the Northern Hemisphere. The next step is to fine tune and test the bias-free algorithm, which will be
applied to the combined passive microwave dataset from SMMR and SSM/I over 20 years.
I. INTRODUCTION
Snow plays an important role in the global energy and
water budgets, as a result of its high albedo and
thermal and water storage properties. Snow is also the
largest varying landscape feature of the Earth's
surface. Thus, knowledge of snow extent and SWE are
important for climate change studies and applications
such as flood forecasting. Furthermore, snow depth
and SWE, as well as snow cover extent, are important
contributors to both local and remote climate systems.
Despite its importance, the successful forecasting of
snowmelt using atmospheric and hydrologic models is
challenging. This is due to imperfect knowledge of
snow physics and simplifications used in the model, as
well as errors in the model forcing data. Furthermore,
the natural spatial and temporal variability of snow
cover is characterized at space and time scales below
those typically represented by models. Snow model
initialization based on model spin-up will be affected
by these errors. By assimilating snow observation
products into Land Surface Models (LSMs), the
effects of model initialization error may be reduced
(Sun et al., 2003).
Passive microwave remote sensors onboard satellites
provide an all-weather global SWE observation
capability day or night. Brightness temperatures from
different channels of satellite passive microwave
sensors (hereafter referred to as PM) can be used to
estimate the snow water equivalent (or snow depth
with knowledge of the snow density), and hence snow
cover extent. However, there are both systematic
(bias) and random errors associated with the passive
microwave measurements. In order for the remotely
sensed SWE observations to be useful for climate
modelers, water resource managers and flood
forecasters, it is necessary to have both an unbiased
SWE estimate and a quantitative, rather than
qualitative, estimate of the uncertainty. This is a
critical requirement for successful assimilation. of
snow observations into LSMs.
For most PM algorithms, the effects of vegetation
cover and snow grain size variability are the main
source of error in estimating SWE. Of lesser concern
are the effects of topography and atmospheric
conditions. A major assumption made in a number of
PM algorithms is that vegetation cover does not affect
the SWE estimates. In fact, it can have a significant
impact on the accuracy of SWE estimates. In densely
forested areas, such as the boreal forest of Canada, the
underestimation of SWE from retrieval algorithms can
be as high as 5096 (Chang et al., 1996). Another major
assumption is that snow density and snow crystal size
remain constant throughout the snow season
everywhere on the globe; in reality, they vary
considerably over time and space. The PM algorithms
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