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International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences, Vol XXX V, Part B7. Istanbul 2004
10 minutes. The numerically simulated run-up elevations
showed that the maximum positive tsunami amplitudes near the
shore can exceed the 3-m level on some parts of the coast, even
reaching the 5-m level at some localities depending on the
source and the coastal topography. Temporal histories, i.e.
sequence and relative height of tsunami waves, showed similar
appearances.
The results should be considered as important risks for the
shores of the Sea of Marmara where the coastline is densely
populated and widely used for many purposes.
3. MAPPING METHOD AND INLAND PENETRATION
The inundation map was produced by numerically simulating
the resulting tsunami waves due to scenario underwater failures,
and mapping the maximum inland flooding limit. The first part
was done by computer methods. The last step was
accomplished chiefly by prior conclusions about inland
penetration depending on the circumstantial characteristics of
the inundation area and available topographic data (Priest,
1995).
Tsunami flooding or the volume of water carried onshore is
directly related with the size of tsunami and its wave period. On
the other hand, the cross-sectional area of coastline flooded by a
tsunami is almost equal to that of water under the tsunami wave
crest close to shore (Hills and Mader, 1997). The limit of
landward incursion is the maximum distance that run-up can
penetrate inland and can be given the following formula;
Xn (Hs) n?k (1)
where k is a constant and taken as 0.06 for many tsunamis. The
term n is another constant and depends on the characteristics of
the inundation area. It is 0.015 for smooth terrains such as
grasslands or tidal plains, 0.03 for areas covered in buildings
and 0.07 for landscapes densely covered with forest.
Dry-land inundation distance across relatively flat ground was
inferred by extrapolating the run-up elevation at the shoreline
inland until a barrier was encountered or until a lateral distance
was reached that conforms approximately to the above
equation. A tsunami 2.6 m high can penetrate 950 m inland for
smooth plains. However, since the study area is a developed
land on flat coastal plains, such a tsunami can only penetrate
250 m inland.
3.1 Mapping Tsunami Inundation
For definition of the inundation limit, a Digital Terrain Model
(DTM) with a vertical resolution of + 1.2 m was used. On the
basis of elevation data of the surface, a DTM creates
topography by geometric surfaces in a computer environment.
This method provides best approach to a 3D terrain surface
using elevation points which were defined on a horizontal
plane, from various data sources such as measured data,
topographic maps, bathymetric data and images. Our DTM was
produced from 1:25,000-scale topographic maps and has a cell
size of 50 m. In order to define the environmental condition of
the inundation area (smooth terrain, areas covered in buildings
or forest), we have merged the DTM with respective IKONOS
699
with 1 m resolution. Finally, calculated inundation limits based
on some assumptions were drawn on these maps (Figure 1-4).
Figure 1. Inundation map drawn for the coastal area in front of
Kücükcekmece lagoon. The line shows how far inland and
uphill a tsunami caused by an underwater failure is expected to
go. Taking into consideration the simulated tsunami waves due
to scenario underwater failures, topographic elevations,
settlement conditions and geographic characteristics of the
inundation area, the maximum inland flooding limits were
developed for the wave heights of 2 m at shore.
Sea of Marmara
Figure 2. Inundation map drawn for the coastal area of Yesilkoy
airport, Ayamama creek and Atakóy Marina. Each line shows
how far inland and uphill a tsunami caused by an underwater
failure is expected to go. Taking into consideration the
simulated tsunami waves, the maximum inland flooding limits
were developed for the wave heights of 2, 2.5 and 3.0 m at
shore, respectively.