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changes may not be meaningful for parcels of at least 25
ha. Also small errors in old and new image co-
registration (of the order of 1 - 2 pixels) may lead to large
differences being detected between pixels in very patchy
inhomogeneous zones at the pixel scale e.g. large
houses with gardens, small-holding farms or horticulture
with regularly interspersed buildings and cultivated plots.
For this reason we are investigating a possible two-
component approach to change detection in imagery as
follows:
(i) within each parcel boundary from the original map
produce class histograms from old and new imagery,
then look for significant differences in class composition
(ii) within each parcel boundary from the original map
perform a cross-correlation of the old and new pixel radi-
ance data and then to threshold the result in order to de-
tect major spatial differences.
A combination of (i) and (ii) then permits parcels with sig-
nificant land cover change to be flagged. However it is
axiomatic that once a land cover parcel is flagged as
having changed its immediate neighbours will also be
potential change candidates because of the possible re-
quirement to re-draw boundaries. The posible parcel
change detection approach is shown in figure 4.
4.3 Development of an Image Classifier with Good
Generalisation
One of the most important requirements of the change
detection procedure is a classification of the old and new
imagery into as many classes as possible with high ac-
curacy over large geographic areas. A potential method
for doing this is to use an artificial neural network classi-
fier which has been demonstrated in experiments under-
taken at the JRC to yield results considerably better than
conventional statistical image classifiers with large num-
bers of classes (Kanellopoulos et al. 1992). Work on fur-
ther developing these classifiers is continuing at the
OLD ORIGINAL NEW
IMAGERY MAP IMAGERY
y J
CLASSIFY CLASSIFY
À i
FORM OLD MAP PARCEL
CLASS STATISTICS
1 Y
CHANGES IN CLASS MAJOR DIFFERENCE IN
COMPOSITION ? CROSS-CORRELATION OF
OLD AND NEW PARCEL ?
y
FLAG CHANGED
PARCELS
INVOKE REVISION
PROCEDURE
Figure 4. Proposed Procedure for Parcel Change
Detection
547
JRC. The neural network approach has a distinct advan-
tage in that it is appropriate for parallel processing. Stud-
ies are currently being undertaken at the JRC on impl-
menting neural networks for remote sensing data
analysis on parallel transputer networks.
4.4 Development of Rule-Based Boundary and Class
Change
Perhaps the most difficult stage of "automatic" CORINE
map revision is the decision making involved in (a)
changing a class label for a parcel which has been de-
tected as 'changed' and/or (b) re-drawing the boundaries
for a changed parcel and its immediate neighbours for
which there are topology-preserving and topology non-
preserving possibilities.
We believe a rule-based approach is indispensable in
this context and that a detailed parcel-by-parcel evalu-
ation has to be made where the significant image class
changes have occurred. Essentially these changes have
to be isolated and their impact on boundaries and
CORINE class labels carefully evaluated. This requires
also that a useful relationship can be established be-
tween detectable image classes and CORINE land cover
classes. There is a possibility of building up statistics of
image class membership within the CORINE land cover
nomenclature clases by examining the image classes
detected (on old imagery) inside each parcel in the origi-
nal land cover map. It will then be possible to determine
the most likely new CORINE class label(s) for a changed
parcel using its new image class composition on a
probabilistic basis. However this procedure can not be
separated from the spatial analysis since the image
class composition of a parcel is dependent on its bound-
ary. Procedures are thus suggested which involve, for
example,: (a) identifying which pixels have changed, (b)
deciding if these represent a growth of some existing
landscape feature or a completely new feature (c) decid-
ing whether simply to move an existing boundary or to
create a new polygon and (d) deciding if new CORINE
class labels are appropriate given the new proposed par-
cel geometry. Such complex inter-related decision-
making in our view requires an expert system approach
if it is to be automated. Such a system would require
many rules and a good probabilistic evidential reasoning
model.
These approaches are currently being investigated at
the JRC and are likely to form an important component
of our work on land cover map revision.
5. DISCUSSION
The revision of a land cover map with continental cover-
age is a formidable task by any approach. We believe
remote sensing offers a possibility to do this automati-
cally but there are many technical problems to be
solved. Many of these problems are common to a multi-
tude of applications of remote sensing -i.e. how to accu-
rately extract large numbers of classes from satellite im-
agery, how to get good performance over wide
geographical areas, how to spatially generalise products
in a meaningful way. Work is underway on all these is-
sues at the JRC and we hope to exploit techniques such
as neural networks and expert systems in helping to