1. INTRODUCTION
The island of South Georgia is located in the South Atlantic
centred on 54° S, 37° W (Figure 1). It is isolated, and heavily
glaciated, with 60% of the island being covered by glaciers or
ice sheets. Its location and isolation make it the primary
breeding ground for many species of marine birds, such as
albatrosses, petrels and penguins.
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South
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Figure 1: Location map for South Georgia
Recent studies (Cook et al, 2009) have shown that the
majority of coastal glaciers on South Georgia are in retreat. A
small minority are, however, advancing, and a further small
number are retreating far more rapidly than the average. As
Cook et al. (2009) show, these changes in glacier extent may
have significant consequences on the breeding success of
these iconic birds. Introduced terrestrial predators, in
particular rats, are currently blocked from major breeding
grounds by glacier barriers, and continuing retreat of glaciers
threatens these breeding grounds. Comparison of areas
occupied by rats and those not shows that most species of
bird nesting in South Georgia cannot breed successfully in
areas inhabited by rats.
In order to understand glacier dynamics, a crucial parameter
is ice thickness. This can be measured in a variety of ways
using standard techniques such as seismic sounding, ice-
penetrating radar or even by drilling. However, all these
techniques require substantial logistic support, which is not
available in South Georgia. South Georgia is only accessible
by ship; there is no landing ground for fixed-wing aircraft.
While an over-snow expedition could potentially carry out a
survey of ice thickness, it would be limited in its areal
coverage compared with airborne survey. Aircraft equipped
for ice-penetrating radar surveys do not have sufficient range
to perform a survey over South Georgia after flying from the
nearest airfield at Port Stanley in the Falkland Islands.
Fortunately, South Georgia was covered by the Shuttle Radar
Topography Mission (SRTM) during February 2000, being
just north of the southern limit of 56? S. The product used
was DTED 1, 3 arc-second product (-90m post spacing).
SRTM elevations have an absolute accuracy of 8 metres
(90% probability) for islands, and a relative accuracy of 6.2
metres (Farr et al., 2007). Farr et al. also state that accuracies
are worst over steep slopes, and better for flat areas, such as
glaciers and ice fields, though the improvement of accuracy
over flatter areas is not quantified. These relatively accurate
elevation data permit an estimate of ice thickness to be made
from the surface slope of the glaciers (Paterson, 1981, page
86).
591
In places, the ice thickness estimates are clearly substantially
in error, giving unrealistically high estimates. This can be
linked to changes at the base of the glacier, providing an
insight into conditions that are relevant to the pattern of
retreat of coastal glaciers.
2. METHOD
2.1 Theory
The surface slope of a glacier in a steady state is related to
the ice thickness by the following relationship:
TzÉzgg.hsina (1)
Where 1 is the basal shear stress, p is the density of ice, g is
the acceleration due to gravity, h is the ice thickness and a is
the surface slope (Paterson, 1981, page 86).
This equation can be re-arranged to provide a relationship
between ice thickness and surface slope, assuming a constant
basal shear stress:
T
Bx ——r
fe 5. fin er (2)
So, assuming that the retarding forces at the base of the
glacier (tr) are unvarying, it is possible to estimate ice
thickness using surface slope values alone, as all other terms
in the equation are constant. The value of 1 varies within the
range 50 kPa to 150 kPa depending on a variety of factors
including the temperature of the ice and the nature of the
substrate; a reasonable assumption for its value in the
absence of other information is therefore 100 kPa.
Glaciers in South Georgia are constrained by valley walls, so
additional corrections are required to account for this.
€
h pg. gina.F G)
Where F is a correction factor that depends on W, the ratio of
the distance to the valley wall and the ice thickness on the
centre-line of the glacier. GIS techniques detailed below
allowed the distance to the valley wall to be computed
accurately, and F was obtained from Table 1.
Given that much of South Georgia is covered by perennial
snow or ice, determining the location of glacier margins is
not trivial. A variety of techniques were tested, but the most
reliable was clipping the slope data at a value of 17°.
Methods based on image analysis using a composite Landsat
ETM+ image failed due to snow cover on glaciers and heavy
shadowing, but were used to eliminate areas of low slope that
are not snow-covered (e.g. deglaciated areas in front of
retreating glacier snouts). The second derivative of the
surface (i.e. rate of change of slope) in many areas provided a
good delineation of the edge of a glacier, but failed in areas
where the glacier merged into snow-fields and at ice-falls.
Having determined the glacier margins, the next step was to
compute the glacier centrelines. This was done by computing
the Euclidean distance from the glacier margins, the centre-
line is then the trace of the maximum distances from the
glacier margins. The distance to the glacier wall is then
available at every point along the glacier centre-line, and the
mean ice thickness can be computed by averaging over a
small region along the centre-line. These parameters are used
to compute the correction factor in Equation 3 (above).