As the nearest alternative air photo
mosaics, a by-product of the World Bank
mapping projects, served as the basis for the
photo interpretation and land use mapping. A
major, but in this case unavoidable,
disadvantage was the use of a relatively old
base (4-7 years old photo mosaics in the case
of the first 100 cities and therefore rather
outdated). For the second series of 155
cities, the mosaics will be somewhat more
recent, and anyway available quite some time
before the maps are published.
These photo mosaics, scale 1:7500 ...
1:12500, can be acquired without too much
hassle in the form of bromide prints or very
cheap blueprints. They provide an acceptable
base for the subsequent mapping and field
survey, and a partial source for data
acquisition and cross-checking through photo
interpretation.
4
The only way to create an up-to-date
thematic map in the absence of recent air
photos is updating through a field survey. The
updating is only required in parts of the
urban area, with a locally known location.
Elements that are not visible on photos (e.g.
water supply network) have to obtained from
other sources (water company) or a field
survey. For the largest part of the area, the
air photo mosaics nevertheless provide the
much needed synoptic overview and the
essential population density and land use
data. As long as change (particularly
densification) within existing built-up areas
is not very substantial, reliable data still
can be provided.
Planners in practice anyhow have to accept
less than perfect data, the main issue will
remain to get access to optimal data within
normal constraints and to work with these
¿■perfect data in an intelligent way.
TANZANIA: MONITORING AND UPGRADING THE MANZESE SQUATTER AREA
The population (about 300000 in 1967) of
Dar es Salaam has been growing at a yearly
rate of 6 - 9 % since the early 1960's. Most
of the population growth has been absorbed by
unplanned or 'squatter' areas. Manzese is the
largest spontaneous settlement or squatter
area, where about 34000 people were living on
328 ha in 1967 and 96000 people in 1980
(Sliuzas & van Vugt, 1988). The continued
rapid growth of Manzese is taking place in the
form of densification (expansion of existing
houses and filling in of remaining open
spaces) and expansion of the area (including
settlement in 'bad lands' like flood-prone
creek valleys).
In a spontaneous settlement people build
their own houses, but as the available vacant
land is not planned for housing,
infrastructure facilities as roads, water
supply, sewerage, schools, clinics, etc, are
lacking and may not be provided for many
years. The modern policy is to upgrade the
squatter areas by providing basic urban
services. However, "the long term benefit of
upgrading will depend on the continuing
development of the area after upgrading, the
provision made for additional future
improvements, and the planners' ability to
monitor and control this development” (Sliuzas
& van Vugt, 1988) .
In such a situation, it is essential to
have timely access to reliable data to be able
to monitor and analyze the developments. Only
trustworthy data can form the basis for a
sound analysis, both of causes and effects.
Development scenarios then can be made, which
enables the urban planners and administrators
guide the development and to anticipate
undesirable developments and counteract them.
As in many developing countries funds are
limited, therefore the acquisition and
processing of data has to be inexpensive.
Field survey methods can provide very detailed
data, but are time-consuming and may exclude
new developments. In the Manzese studies data
were acquired from large format vertical
aerial photos of 1967 and 1975, and from small
format oblique photos made in 1980, 1981,
1987, and 1989 (Fig.2) . The cost of oblique
photos is limited: the major cost item is the
rent of a light airplane, about US$ 230 per
hour in Dar es Salaam (1989) . An area of 5 km 2
can be covered in 1 hour from 500 m height.
The cost of films and printing will not be
more than US$ 100. The data take-off (photo
interpretation, digitizing) must not be
underestimated, but should be compared with
the cost and quality of data from a field
survey, including the input into the
processing and analysis system.
Visual interpretation of the photos
provided data as location, type, size, and use
of buildings, physical suitability of the
land, vegetation cover, etc. The development
of the area could be monitored, and
reconstructed from old photographs, as time
series of air photos are available.
The data were input into a microcomputer
based geo-information system (Usemap IV) . The
house centroids were digitized directly from
the air photos and, together with the house
type, rasterized (gridcells 33.3 x 33.3 m) and
stored in the database. The house type is
important as a single room normally
accommodates a household. The rooa density
therefore is the indicator for the population
density. A distinction can be made between
small houses (3 rooms), large ('Swahili' type)
houses (6 rooms) and shop houses (5 rooms).
Moreover, houses under construction and non-
residential buildings were classified.
In the analysis the absorption capacity of
the area was calculated. The land (grid cells)
unsuitable for housing, and land used for non-
residential purposes was first excluded. By
applying a maximum room density norm
(empirically derived from an analysis of
existing densities) the total capacity could
be derived. Subtracting the existing number of
rooms then will result in the residual or
absorption capacity.
The calculated residual room capacity is
used for estimating the maximum future
population and facility requirements. Room
occupancy rates and population age
distribution can be derived from a (limited)
field survey. Such data are required for
calculating the demand for primary school
rooms, clinics, etc, which can be compared
with the actual facility provision level to
determine the upgrading requirements (Sliuzas
& van Vugt, 1988). The optimal locations of
new facilities also can be analyzed using the
geo-information system, including the
consequences (unavoidable in an already
densely built-up area) of demolition of
existing houses.
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