The International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences. Vol. XXXVII. Part B4. Beijing 2008
risk at a given location and a specific time are returned to the
decision support subsystem.
The last task performs some statistical analyses and evaluations,
and generates some synthesized incident reports. On most
occasions, many decisions are dependent on the statistical data
that are drawn on the foundation of the effect areas and risk
levels of an incident given by specific prediction and evaluation
models. This is a case, for example, the number of the people in
the high risk region in chemical contingencies, which is figured
out based on demographic census data and risk levels, is critical
for medical service agencies to arrange their rescue scale.
Therefore, some common statistical computations are
implemented in the decision support subsystem, and some
ordinary integrated data involving effect region and population,
emergency route system and evacuation scale are generated.
The last results given by the decision support subsystem
provide well guides for emergency managers to issue task
commands reasonably. On the other hand, these data also are an
important basis to perform further decision making analyses for
different emergency response agencies. For example, medical
service agencies can establish detailed rescue plans on the basis
of rescue scale, incident location and emergency route system.
3. DISCUSSION
A great span of organizations, including governmental agencies,
the private sector and nongovernmental organizations, are
always involved in emergency response. A centrally organized
command center and a spectrum of distributed operation
agencies are widely considered as an applicable organization
framework to effectively respond to different kinds of
emergencies (Turoff et al., 2004; Murray, 2007), and have been
explicitly prescribed in many emergency plans (e.g., the
National Emergency Response Program for Public Incidents of
China and the National Response Framework of the U.S.A.).
The most significant function of the command center is issuing
orders that activate or deactivate specific response tasks, like
evacuation, and coordinating activities of numerous operation
agencies to accomplish the tasks, which are critical to
successful emergency response. To achieve the function, many
requirements, involving real-time situation perception of
incidents and integrated analyses basing on collected multi
sources data, are usually indispensable. For satisfying these
requirements, emergency DSS should not be constructed in a
monolithic structure but an open architecture capable of
integrating data from different organizations and adding needed
resources as data and models easily.
The DSS - Eplan described in this paper gives such a design
with an open architecture. It is built on three systems of the
CyberSIG platform, and under their supports data and models
from different organizations are able to be added into the DSS
easily and participate in decision making analyses. The
openness of the DSS mainly covers the following three aspects.
Open access. The client/server architecture and the loosely
coupled structure make web-based access to the DSS available.
The feature assures emergency managers and operators are able
to employ the system expediently. When an incident occurs,
first responders can input incident-related data collected on the
spot through the web interface of the system. Similarly,
decision makers are able to utilize the interface to perform
model computations remotely. The results given by the system
are organized in web pages and transferred back to decision
makers.
Open resources. Resources from different organizations, for
example, data and models, can be easily enrolled into or
removed from the DSS. The adopted web service standard that
is designed by W3C to achieve interoperability over a network
gives great facility for organizations to package their resources
as services demanded by the system, and the popular SOA
architecture implemented by the system makes the register and
the withdraw of services convenient. By some basic
management functions provided by the web interface,
organizations are able to manage their resources remotely.
Open models. The completely component-centric modeling
approach brings powerful integrated modeling competency.
Models developed by different organizations for specific
emergencies can be integrated into the DSS as basic
components. Emergency analyses and decision making models
can be created in short time by coupling these basic or
composed models residing in the system. When new models
with higher precision are developed, the old ones can be
replaced with little difficulty by uploading the new components
to the server of Isim and making some modifications to the
metadata of the old ones.
The open characteristic makes the DSS suitable for response to
different incidents. In fact, the system provides a framework for
emergency DSS, which consists of a series of ordinary elements
of emergency DSS, for instance, incident-centric dataset,
prediction and analysis models, and defines an approach that
can compose these elements into an operation process. When
extending to a new kind of emergency, most commonly, three
steps are needed to create an emergency decision making
process. First, organizations register their data that are required
by decision making into the DSS. Second, emergency managers
and specialists provide incident prediction and analysis models.
Lastly, emergency managers create an analysis process for this
kind of contingencies.
Emergency response usually involves a series of tasks that are
selected to be executed due to the type and scale of an incident,
for example, logistics, evacuation, and various rescues. Among
these tasks, many decision makings are carried out, and
accordingly some models that are able to assist these tasks are
needed. Therefore, more models should be developed and
integrated into the DSS besides the emergency prediction and
analysis models. In general, at least three aspects of models are
to be provided for constructing a perfect emergency DSS:
incident prediction models, transportation optimization models
for evacuation, logistics models. Incident prediction models,
gas dispersion model for nuclear or chemical incidents (Chang
et al., 1997; Alhajraf et al., 2005; Baklanov et al., 2006;
Soensen et al., 2007) as an example, give the effect areas of an
incident and evaluate its possible risk. Transportation
optimization models yield an optimized arrangement of travel
routes and destinations for evacuees under some specific
objective functions and optimization formulas. Some typical
optimization formulas include the shortest route(Campos et al.,
2000), the shortest evacuation time (Pursals and Garzón, In
Press), the minimum cost (Yamada, 1996; Cova and Johnson,
2003), and the maximum traffic flow(Dunn and Newton, 1992).
Logistics models (Bakuli and Smith, 1996; Fiedrich et al., 2000;
Yi and Ózdamar, 2007) produce an optimized resource
allocation scheme aiming at maximizing the utilization of
available resources. Except for the three categories, risk