TSUNAMI HAZARD ASSESSMENT IN ISTANBUL USING BY HIGH RESOLUTION
SATELLITE DATA (IKONOS) AND DTM
B. Alpar*^ *, C. Gazioglu *. Y. Altinok“, Z.Y. Yücel^, S. Dengiz*
? Istanbul University, Institute of Marine Sciences and Management,
34116 Vefa Istanbul, Turkey (alparb@istanbul.edu.tr)
b [Istanbul University, Institute of Marine Sciences and Management, BERKARDA Remote Sensing and GIS
Laboratory, 34116 Vefa Istanbul, Turkey (cemga, zyy)@istanbul.edu.tr
* Istanbul University, Engineering Faculty, Avcilar Istanbul, Turkey - yaltinok@istanbul.edu.tr
? INTA SpaceTurk, PB.18 Haymana Yolu 12km. 06830 Golbast Ankara, Turkey (sdengiz@spaceturk.com.tr)
Commission TS, WG VII/5
KEY WORDS: Earthquake, Coast, Hazards, Bathymetry, DEM/DTM, IKONOS, High Resolution, Land Cover
ABSTRACT:
Historical tsuna
mi events have impacted the Istanbul coasts along the Sea of Marmara. Offshore seismic sources may trigger these
tsunamis directly or through coseismic underwater failure. The 1999 izmit Bay tsunami led to more comprehensive analyses of these
events which are generally caused by underwater failures close to the target coastline. Waves so generated can arrive at nearby
coastlines in minutes, causing extensive damage and loss of life. Here this paper prop
ose, on the basis of tsunami models in the Sea
of Marmara and methodology used internationally, first generation tsunami inundation maps for the areas along the southern coast of
Istanbul using by High Resolution Satellite Data (IKONOS) and Digital Terrain Data (DTM). Such maps and images for selected
areas help to und
hazard.
1. INTRODUCTION
The coastal area of the Sea of Marmara is subjected to a near-
field hazard — a tsunami generated in something under 2 hours
tsunami travel time to the locality. Such a tsunami can
propagate in any direction and thus, dependent on the location
of the source, path of propagation and near-shore morphology
form a risk to any vulnerable coastline.
Throughout history, Istanbul, which is the most populated
historical city of Turkey, has been beset by different-size
tsunamis. In the case of tsunami hazard, the southern coastal
area of Istanbul is subjected to a near-field hazard. Different
from far-field tsunamis, it may be difficult to generalise the
effects of near-field tsunamis, because there is a large
variability over short distances of the height of tsunamis and
their destructiveness. The long interval between events in a
specific position makes the problem more complicated.
Even the historical records of near-field tsunamis is often
incomplete due in large part to inadequate data and data of
questionable quality, especially in the case of older events,
there are many events well documented for our case. During
last 1600 years, at least 21 historic tsunamis are known to be
felt in Istanbul (368, 407, 447, 477, 478, 480, 557, 740, 989,
1231, 1265, 1332, 1343, 1344, 1419, 1509, 1571, 1646, 1766,
1878 and 1894). Nearly half of them impacted its coasts
(Altinok et al., 2001).
In 407, ships were damaged in Istanbul. In 557, 1231, 1343 and,
1344 the sea inundated 2-3 km to the land. In 1509, the tsunami
* Corresponding author.
erstand the possible effects on those regions and should only be used for evacuation planning and reducing possible
wave height was most probably more than 6 m above sea level.
Sea inundated the area behind the city walls and invaded the
streets. In 1766 the waves were recognised inner parts of the
Bosphorus. In 1894 the sea receded up to 50 m and then
returned. The wave height was less than 6 m. The bridges on
the Golden Horn estuary were under the water. In 1912 the sea
lifted a rowing-boat up to a height of 2.7 m at Yesilkóy. In the
middle of the Strait of Istanbul, the waves demolished an
anchored yacht. Finally in 1999 some abnormal events were
observed around the Prince islands and in the Strait of Istanbul.
2. MODELING FOR UNDERWATER FAILURES
Numerical simulations are useful tools for analysing tsunami
propagation and coastal amplification. The tsunami waves
generated by earthquakes depend on the size and the impact of
the source mechanism on the displaced water. On the other
hand, those generated by underwater landslides are governed by
the landslide geometry and its kinematics (Grilli and Watts,
1999).
By estimating different underwater landslide and earthquake
scenarios in the Sea of Marmara, Yalciner et al. (2001; 2002)
have modelled tsunamis. They proposed 3 different
hypothetical tsunami scenarios; an underwater failure at
offshore Yenikapi, another one offshore Tuzla, and an
earthquake on the Armutlu Fault and two accompanying
landslides located along this fault. These scenarios showed that
the tsunami waves can reach the nearest coastal area within 5-
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