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1827.
MAPPING THE RISKS OF MALARIA, DENGUE AND INFLUENZA
USING SATELLITE DATA
R. K. Kiang *, R. P. Soebiyanto ^*
? NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA — Richard kiang@nasa.gov
^ Goddard Earth Sciences Technology & Research, Universities Space Research Association, Columbia, Maryland,
USA — radina.p.soebiyanto@nasa.gov
Commission VIII, WG 2
KEY WORDS: Malaria, Dengue, Influenza, satellite, remote sensing
ABSTRACT:
It has long been recognized that environment and climate may affect the transmission of infectious diseases. The effects are most
obvious for vector-borne infectious diseases, such as malaria and dengue, but less so for airborne and contact diseases, such as
seasonal influenza. In this paper, we examined the meteorological and environmental parameters that influence the transmission of
malaria, dengue and seasonal influenza. Remotely sensed parameters that provide such parameters were discussed. Both statistical
and biologically inspired, processed based models can be used to model the transmission of these diseases utilizing the remotely
sensed parameters as input. Examples were given for modelling malaria in Thailand, dengue in Indonesia, and seasonal influenza in
Hong Kong.
1. INTRODUCTION
The transmission of infectious diseases is influenced by a
myriad of factors. Environmental, meteorological, social,
economic, political and warlike conditions have all been shown
to contribute to the occurrence and outbreaks of a large number
of diseases. Among these, the environmental and
meteorological conditions are the factors that can be more
easily quantified. They can be conveniently measured
repeatedly using remote sensing in either friendly or hostile
territories. Other factors, on the other hand, often require
substantial efforts to measure and can only be expressed
qualitatively.
Malaria is a parasitic disease that infects both humans and
primates, and is endemic in most parts of the tropic, especially
in the developing countries. Among the continents, Africa has
nearly ninety per cent of the malaria cases and deaths. But
malaria is also a significant problem in South and Southeast
Asia. Malaria may still become a serious health issue for
countries outside of the tropics where public health support is
inadequate because of economic constraints or military
conflicts. For example, since 1993 vivax malaria re-emerged in
North Korea (Feighner 1998). Similarly, situated around 34°N
with an arid climate, Afghanistan has approximately 0.41 to 0.6
million cases annually (Youssef 2008 WHO-EMRO 2007), and
is the country most endemic with malaria within the World
Health Organization’s (WHO) Eastern Mediterranean Region.
In this section, we will discuss malaria modelling and
surveillance using remote sensing data. Examples are drawn
from malaria in South Korea, Thailand, Indonesia and
Afghanistan.
It is estimated that half of the world’s population is at risk for
malaria infection (RBM 2011). There are approximately 250
million cases annually with 0.9 million deaths worldwide. In
recent years, the malaria burden has been significantly reduced
through concerted efforts of international and national public
health organizations, and the generous contributions from
developed nations and philanthropic foundations. A major
concern, however, is the emergence of artemisinin-resistant
falciparum malaria that first appeared at the Thai-Cambodian
border in 2007. Eliminating or containing the drug resistant
strains is essential to global malaria control. Malaria is
transmitted by infected female anophelines after taking blood
meals from infectious humans. Five plasmodium species are
known to infect humans, including Plasmodium vivax, P.
falciparum, P. malariae, P. ovali, and the more recently
discovered P. knowlesi (Singh 2004).
Similar to malaria, dengue fever and the more lethal dengue
hemorrhagic fever are also mosquito-borne diseases. They are
caused by flavivirus that is transmitted by infected Aedes
mosquitoes. The latter may lead to the dangerous dengue shock
syndrome with a mortality rate as high as 30%. Two fifths of
the world’s populations are at risk. Dengue vectors can breed
in any small amount of water such as vases, flower pots,
discarded containers, or used tires. Hence it is challenging to
implement larval control. Unlike malaria, dengue is considered
an urban disease. Currently, dengue exists in Mexico and all
Central American and Southeast Asian countries. There are four
viral serotypes in the family of Flaviviridae.
Influenza is a common viral respiratory disease. Almost
everyone gets infected one year or another. It infects five to
fifteen per cent of the world population and causes 250,000-
300,000 deaths each year (WHO 2009). Despite vaccination
and the largely mild cases, the burden of influenza remains
significant due to health care cost and the loss of productivity.
In the United States alone, the annual seasonal influenza
epidemic can cause up to 200,000 hospitalization and more than
30,000 deaths (CDC 2010), the estimated economic burden
based on the 2003 population is nearly US$90 billion (Molinari