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Figure 1. The Cagayan River Basin, its provinces, the Bangag
Station, and weather stations.
2.4. Land use/Land cover: About 37% of the area is covered
by forest while grassland, agricultural area, and other land use
such as settlement and water area occupies 34%, 27% and 2%,
respectively. Of the 741,000 hectares of agricultural area, 94%
are crop fields while the rest are fruit trees. The crop fields are
further subdivided into 68% paddy field, 22% corn field and
10% upland crop field (DPWH & JICA 2001).
3. MODEL DESCRIPTION
The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model is a river
basin scale model specifically used in predicting the effect of
land management practices, over long periods of time, on
variables such as flow and sediment to areas of varying soils,
land use and management conditions. It is physically based,
uses readily available inputs, computationally efficient and
enables users to study long-term impacts (Neitsch et. al, 2005).
The study used the SWAT 2005 version via the ArcSWAT
interface for ArcGISTM,
SWAT is a continuous time model and is not designated to
simulate detailed single-event flood routing (Neitsch et. al,
2005) and operates on a daily time step (Hao et. al, 2003). To
predict surface runoff yield, the model uses a modified version
of the SCS CN method (USDA-SCS, 1972):
Q - (R-25Yy /(R 0.83) R>025 (1)
Q-0 Rs028 (Q)
where Q and R are the daily surface runoff and daily rainfall,
respectively, both in mm H5O. S is a retention parameter which
varies spatially under various soil, land use, management and
slope conditions, and temporally to respond to changes in soil
water content (Hao et. al, 2003). The retention parameter is
related to the curve number (CN) and defined as:
S= 254 120-10)
GB)
The model estimates erosion and sediment yield from each sub-
basin using the Modified Universal Soil Loss Equation
(MUSLE) (Williams, 1995):
sed =11.8-(0,.., 4,2 area, -K-C-P-LS-CFRG (4)
where sed is the sediment yield on a given day in metric tons,
Osur is the surface runoff volume in mmH,0/ha, Goer 18 the
peak runoff rate in m°/s, areapy, is the area of the HRU in ha, K
is the USLE soil erodibility factor, C is the USLE cover and
management factor, P is the USLE support practice factor, LS
is the USLE topographic factor and CFRG is the course
fragment factor. For a detailed description of these variables,
the reader may refer to the theoretical documentation of SWAT
2005 (Neitsch et. al, 2005).
4. METHODOLOGY
The general procedure used in the study can be seen in Figure
1. Several datasets are inputted to the model after data
preparation. The basin is automatically delineated via the
SWAT model interface (ArcSWAT) using the input DEM
while subbasins and finer subdivisions in the basin called the
hydrologic response units (HRU) are defined by setting
threshold limits for land use/land cover, soil type and slope
class. Available flow and sediment data were used to calibrate
and validate the model. The calibrated model was then rerun
for five scenarios, the results of which are compared and
became the basis of the author’s final analysis.
4.1. Data Preparation, Input and Model Setup
4.1.1. Digital Elevation Model: The Shuttle Radar Topography
Mission Digital Elevation Model (SRTM-DEM) was used for
the DEM requirement of SWAT. SRTM data are products of
processed raw radar signals spaced at different intervals at the
Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) (USGS, 2011). The DEM
used was a 3 arc-second medium resolution elevation data
(approx. 90 m) resampled using cubic convolution interpolation
and downloaded at the EarthExplorer website (URL:
http://edcsns17.cr.usgs.gov/NewEarthExplorer). The DEM was
used to generate percent slope values, to do automatic
watershed delineation and in defining stream networks and
gage outlets.
4.1.2. Land Cover/Land Use Map was generated from two
sets of Landsat 7 TM and ETM+. CRB covers three Landsat
scenes within the coverage of path 116, rows 47, 48 and 49.
These satellite imageries passed through a processing scheme
as shown in Figure 2. All downloaded Landsat ETM+ images
were Level 1T products in Geographic Tagged Image-File
Format (GeoTIFF). These were geo-referenced to include
terrain correction that corrected parallax error from local
topographic relief with a digital elevation model (Helmer &
Ruefenacht, 2007).
A simple atmospheric correction called the Dark Object
Subtraction (DOS) technique was applied to the set of final
images (reference images) covering the CRB before they were
processed for cloud and cloud shadow masking and filling
method developed by Martinuzzi et. al (2006). Image
classification was done in per scene basis. The five general
land cover classes used in the study are forest, vegetation, water
bodies, bare soil and built-up areas. There were four supervised
classifiers (Maximum likelihood, Parallelepiped, Minimum
Distance and Mahalanobis Distance) and two unsupervised
classifiers (ISODATA and K-means) that were tested to
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