International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences, Volume XXXIX-B8, 2012
XXII ISPRS Congress, 25 August — 01 September 2012, Melbourne, Australia
Precursor Date of observed Prediction of Deviation Prediction of Prediction of the radius of
anomaly earthquake date value (Dx) earthquake magnitude affected area (Km)
TEC 28 Sep 29 Sep — 13 Oct +2.78 7-8 15.92-41.30
28 Sep 29 Sep — 13 Oct +3,73 >8 > 41.30
28 Sep 29 Sep — 13 Oct +3.38 >8 >41.30
28 Sep 29 Sep — 13 Oct +2.63 7-8 15.92-41.30
27 Sep 28 Sep — 12 Oct +2.73 7-8 15.92-41.30
27 Sep 28 Sep — 12 Oct +2.54 7-8 15.92-41.30
26 Sep 27 Sep — 11 Oct +2.91 7-8 15.92-41.30
25 Sep 26 Sep — 10 Oct +2.60 7-8 15.92-41.30
23 Sep 26 Sep — 10 Oct +3.07 >8 >41.30
24 Sep 25 Sep — 09 Oct +2.55 7-8 15.92-41.30
Electron Temperature 27 Sep 28 Sep — 12 Oct +3.24 >8 >41.30
O* Density 26 Sep 27 Sep — 11 Oct +2.12 7-8 15.92-41.30
Total Ion Density 26 Sep 27 Sep — 11 Oct +2.08 7-8 15.92-41.30
Ion Density 26 Sep 27 Sep — 11 Oct +2.28 7-8 15.92-41.30
Total Ion Density 25 Sep 26 Sep — 10 Oct +3.0 >8 >41.30
O* Density 25 Sep 26 Sep — 10 Oct +3.18 >8 : >41.30
Ion Temperature 25 Sep 26 Sep — 10 Oct -2.87 7-8 15.92-41.30
Electron Density 25 Sep 26 Sep — 10 Oct +3.01 >8 >41.30
Electron Temperature 25 Sep 26 Sep — 10 Oct -1.82 6-7 6.14-51
Electron Density 24 Sep 25 Sep — 09 Oct +2.89 7-8 15.92-41.30
Ion Density 23 Sep 24 Sep — 08 Oct +1.96 6-7 6.14-15.92
Total Ion Density 21 Sep 22 Sep — 06 Oct +1.65 6-7 6.14-15.92
O* Density 21 Sep 22 Sep — 06 Oct +2.24 7-8 15.92-41.30
O* Density 21 Sep 22 Sep — 06 Oct +2.07 7-8 15.92-41.30
Total Ion Density 21 Sep 22 Sep — 06 Oct +2.04 7-8 15.92-41.30
Electron Density 21 Sep 22 Sep — 06 Oct +2.8 7-8 15.92-41.30
Ion Density 18 Sep 19 Sep — 03 Oct +2.07 7-8 15.92-41.30
The intense appearance 21 Sep 22 Sep — 06 Oct 222 27 215.92
of NPM transmitter
waves in the VLF
electric spectrogram
The intense appearance 21 Sep 22 Sep — 06 Oct 222 >7 >15.92
of NPM transmitter
waves in the VLF
magnetic spectrogram
The attenuation of 24 Sep 25 Sep — 09 Oct 222 >7 >15.92
NPM transmitter
waves in the VLF
electric spectrogram
The most appearance 27 Sep 28 Sep — 12 Oct 222 >7 215.92
of harmonic emissions
above NPM
transmitter in the HF
electric spectrogram
The intense appearance 28 Sep 29 Sep — 13 Oct >22 >7 >15.92
of harmonic emissions
above NPM
transmitter in the HF
electric spectrogram
Sea Surface 26 Sep 27 Sep — 12 Oct 0.79 5-6 2.36-6.14
Temperature
Table 4. Different precursors concerning Samoa earthquake.
3.2 Sichuan, China earthquake
On 12 May 2008 at 14:28:01.57 LT a strong earthquake of
magnitude M,=7.9 occurred in southwest China (see Table 3).
Some strong anomalies have been observed on 2 May (6:00
LT), 8 May (2, 4, 6 LTs), 9 May (12, 14, 24 LTs), 10 May (12,
14 LTs) and 11 May (12 LT) 2009. Among all above pre-
earthquake anomalies, the anomalies observed on 9 and 10
May at 12:00 LT, were the strongest (the observed TEC
exceeds the lower bound by -2496) (Akhoondzadeh et al.,
20102). These strong anomalies indicate that an earthquake
with a magnitude greater than 8 would have been happened
between 10 and 24 May 2009. The corresponding data with
total ion and electron density changes recorded by DEMETER
IAP and ISL sensors are shown in Table 5. The transition in
electron density value from lower bound occurs at -10:30 LT,
on 9 May 2009 and is of the order of -24%. It reaches its
minimum value of -37%, 2 days before the earthquake (Table
5). It means that an earthquake with a magnitude greater than 8
would have been happened between 10 and 24 May 2009. Such
anomalies are also observed in electron temperature variations,
when the magnitude of changes from the undisturbed state
Intern:
Precursor
TEC
O* Density
Total Ion Density
Ion Density
Electron Temperatur
Electron Temperatur
Electron Density
O* Density
Total Ion Density
Electron Density
Electron Density
O* Density
Total Ion Density
Electron Temperatui
Electron Temperatui
reaches 1596
(Table 5). Th
increase of th
2009 which 1
density of the
(Table 5). A
magnitude b.
between 3 an
varies betwee
other detecte
integration of
precursors in
between 7 anc
May 2009. 1
between 15.9:
3.3 Borujerd
Occurrence o
the past centi
3.0 in Iran n
Borujerd, an
at 01:17:01
variations ex
(Saradjian an
that an earth
happened be
experiement
reaches to its
temperature e
(Akhoondzad
obtained fro
earthquake o
happened bet