2.4 Scaling of carbon fluxes by Modelling techniques
Carbon dioxide (CO;) is a major greenhouse gas and its rapid
increase in the atmosphere after the pre-industrial time is the
cause of recent time global warming and climate change (IPCC
reports 1995). Much of the current increasing trend of CO; is
attributable to the 6-fold increase in human use of fossil fuel,
deforestation and other anthropogenic activities. Of the total
anthropogenic CO, emission, only 30 - 40% remains in the
atmosphere and the rest is being absorbed by ocean and
terrestrial biosphere (IPCC reports 1995). While anthropogenic
release of CO, is continuously increasing at a rapid rate,
sinking strength of the natural system: terrestrial biosphere and
ocean is decreasing (Berthelot et al., 2005). Thus controlling
the growth rate of atmospheric CO; by reducing the
anthropogenic CO, release and helping natural system for
enhancing uptake capacity of atmospheric CO, is a major
challenge.
There have been a few studies on assessing spatial and
temporal patterns of satellite based biophysical parameters and
NPP over India. Estimates of monthly net C fixation and net
primary productivity over India and its eight regions, using
SPOT-VEGETATION 10-day NPP composites, and comparing
the monthly patterns of NPP and NDVI was made (Chhabra
and Dadhwal, 2004).The total net C fixation of India was
estimated as 2.18 PgC, which amounts to area-weighted
terrestrial NPP of 6.66 tCha™ yr! for the period June 1998
May 1999. An analysis of monthly fAPAR dataset derived
from NOAA-AVHRR data covering the period from July 1981
to May 2001 over the Indian land mass was carried out (Pandya
et al., 2004).
2.4.1 Measurement through ground base network over
India
For quantitative understanding of regional CO, transport and its
variations with regional environmental boundary condition
different spatial and temporal scales have to be analysed
through field measurements. The distributed dense networks of
observations would be useful to represent the CO, changes due
to geographic and local environmental conditions. NCP is
making continuous efforts towards multiplying ground based
net work across the country by installing sensors for measuring
boundary layer atmospheric CO,, flux towers for measuring the
CO, flux exchanges between selected ecosystems and
atmosphere.
Under this program, Vaisala CARBOCAP GMP343 is installed
at six stations and some are under plan. The Vaisala
CARBOCAP GMP343 is an accurate and rugged probe type
instrument that can measure atmospheric CO, with acceptable
compromise between size, response time accuracy and stability.
Analysis of data obtained from Dehradun station for the year
2009 was done (Sharma et al, 2011) and work is under
progress for other stations. The data at Dehradun exhibit
distinct diurnal and semi-annual cycles. CO; decreases during
sunrise to afternoon and increases during afternoon to sunset. It
remains higher during the night time. The semi-annual cycle
has decreasing phase during Feb-March and July-Sep, and has
increasing phase during rest of the period. This observed
variability of atmospheric CO, is mostly driven by local
ecosystem activity.
2.4.2 Analysis of satellite measured atmospheric CO2
Recently several space based observation programs such as
Atmospheric Infra Red Sounder (AIRS), SCanning Imaging
International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences, Volume XXXIX-B8, 2012
XXII ISPRS Congress, 25 August — 01 September 2012, Melbourne, Australia
Absorption spectro Meter for Atmospheric CartograpHY
(SCHIAMACHY), Greenhouse gases Observing SATellite
(GOSAT).AIRS can measure CO, at mid troposphere while
SCHIAMACHY and GOSAT can measure columnar
atmospheric CO,. We have analyzed the data obtained from
these satellite observations over India and surrounding oceans
and tried to link with surface fluxes (source and sink). Since
AIRS provides observations since 2002 till now, this data has
been extensively used for analysis (Nayak et al., 2011). An
increasing rate mid tropospheric CO, is 2.14 ppmv yr! is
observed, which is almost the same as that of observed CO, at
Maunaloa.
The annual cycle has larger amplitude over the land than over
the oceans. There also exist inter-annual variations in the
observation. In order to understand the causes of such
variability, we have computed fluxes of CO; exchanges over
the land (India) and over the oceans through integrating
different data bases (remote sensed and observed) in to
different models developed in the recent past for the purpose.
The description of the modelling approach followed is provided
in Nayak et al., 2011. On inter-annual scale, flux exchanges
over the tropical north Indian Ocean could play positive role on
the control of atmospheric carbon dioxide growth rate (Nayak
et al., 2011).
2.4.5 Modeling NPP, NEP and associated parameters
related to Carbon Cycle over terrestrial India
The Carnegie-Ames-Stanford Approach (CASA), a terrestrial
biosphere model, has been used to investigate spatiotemporal
pattern of net primary productivity (NPP) during 2003 over the
Indian subcontinent. Sensitivity analysis suggest that the
difference could be due to inclusion of variable light use
efficiency (LUE) across different land cover types and
environment stress scalars as down regulator of NPP in the
present CASA model study.(Nayak et al., 2011).
Recently we have also implemented CASA model to simulate
NPP, NEP, soil respiration etc. over India at 2x2 min spatial
resolution. In the national scale, average annual NPP is
estimated to be 1.5 Pg C Yr' and is increasing at the rate of
0.005 Pg C Yr? during past 25 years from 1981-2006. This
trend is equivalent to 8.596 over the country during past 25
years.
This increase is primarily due to the enhancement of
productivity over agricultural lands in the country. Variability
of precipitation has stronger role on the control of inter-annual
variability of NPP. Spatial distribution of NPP trend is
different in different places and in different periods. In the
recent time (1995 onwards), large decline of NPP over the
Indo-Gangetic plane is observed owing to decline of rain over
the regions. Estimated NEP budget for the country suggest that,
on an average India is the region of net sink of atmospheric
CO, with total annual uptake of 9.5 Tg C yr'. There exists
strong inter-annual variability of NEP over the country. Except
early period (1981-1985), most of the years India is net sink of
atmospheric CO;.
2.5 Estimation and modeling of geochemical C-fluxes-
weathering, wetland effluxes, sediment erosion and
deposition, riverine and coastal C-flows.
Geochemical fluxes, comprising of variety of processes, though
much smaller in magnitude comprise important fraction of
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