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RESPONSIBILITY, UNCERTAINTY AND FITNESS-FOR-USE:
IMPLICATIONS FOR GEO-INFORMATION THEORY.
Allan J. Brimicombe.
Centre of Land & Engineering Surveying,
Hong Kong Polytechnic,
Hong Kong.
ABSTRACT:
significant limitations for imprecise spatial data. A general model is proposed as a basis
for developing workable Solutions. An example of how the model operates is given.
Implications are that uncertainty measures should be embedded within GIS data rather than
the use of global measures. Users must take responsibility for assessing fitness-for-use
of their data for the particular context of an analysis.
KEY WORDS: Data uncertainty, Propagation, Theoretical model.
THE ISSUE OF UNCERTAINTY IN GIS
Recognition of the Issue
Geographic Information Systems (GIS), as a tool, is
proving successful in apparently reducing practical
problems of organizing and integrating spatial data
and for carrying out complex spatial analyses.
Initial concerns for developing and implementing
the technology on the one hand and the pressing
need to convert both spatial and non-spatial data
from analog to digital formats on the other, has
largely resulted in the need to address data and
analytical integrity being overlooked. One suspects
that in the euphoria of automated overlay analysis,
earlier warnings such as those of MacDougall (1975)
concerning the integrity of the manual overlay
process were either forgotten or deemed no longer
relevant. It may even be that operators and
managers from non-spatial disciplines were unaware
of this dimension to their work, other than the
need to address blunders.
As users have become more familiar with the
technology and as GIS has been accorded a more
sophisticated role such as through incorporation
into decision support systems, the quality of
results portrayed in the graphical output has been
brought increasingly into question. Data quality in
GIS began to be discussed in the literature in the
early 1980’s (e.g. Chrisman, 1982; Mead, 1982;
Blakemore, 1984: Newcomer & Szajgin, 1984; Vitek et
al., 1984). However it was not until the late
1980's that issue seems to have become of more
widespread concern (17 papers in 1987, 2 papers in
1988, 14 papers in 1989). A bibliography has been
published (Veregin, 1989) and a book devoted to the
Subject (Goodchild & Gopal, 1989), but although the
issue is now regularly featured in conferences and
texts, the number of papers would appear to be in
decline. The problem has been identified and
defined, but few solutions have emerged. Not
surprisingly then, vendors do not seem to be taking
much action on the issue.
The. Nature of the Issue
Uncertainty can be used as a global term to
encompass any facet of the data, its manipulation
or its presentation which may raise concern, doubt
759
or skepticism in the mind of the user as to the
validity of the results or intended message.
Theoretically this definition would also ‘include
mishandling of the data through improper analysis,
inappropriate or erroneous use of GIS functions,
poor cartographic technique and so on. However, it
is not the purpose of this paper to address that
aspect of the issue. Mostly it is concerned with
the inaccuracies, inexactness or inadequacies
inherent in most spatial data sets and how these
may propagate to possibly invalidate the
informational output of the system. Lack of
appropriate visualization techniques to portray
data variability is also likely to exacerbate the
issue (Beard et al., 1991).
Figure 1 summarizes the possible sources of
uncertainty. GIS is a veritable minefield in this
regard (see for example Burrough, 1986; Walsh et
al., 1987 and Maguire et al., 1991 for general
discussions). The end effect results in two broad
categories of uncertainty: the position of objects
(in 2, 3 or 4 dimensions) and the characterization
(description and/or additional dimensionality) of
these objects (Table 1). If we also include here
the location and correct assignation of any null
Space, then the above two categories will include
concerns over the completeness of the data.
Notwithstanding Figure 1, the main cause for
concern rests with the ability of Giss to
adequately record, manipulate and display the
natural variation that exists in most spatial data.
Hence Burrough's statement that "many soil
scientists and geographers know from field
experience that carefully drawn boundaries and
contour lines on maps are elegant
misrepresentations of changes that are often
gradual, vague or fuzzy" (Burrough, 1986).
The. Effect
Despite increased awareness on the part of users,
canned demonstrations continue to overly impress
(Congalton, 1990). Complex manipulations of data,
seductive graphics, and implicit faith in the
computer easily turns an old adage on its head -
garbage in, gospel out! The author believes that
this situation has developed due to the absence of
an adequate theory or general model for handling
uncertainty in GIS.