rd
ps
hing
po-
>ason
st
3
-
)ase
icies.
and
re
aft
cr DD
ork
round-
case
ervised
re
atial
or
es
el
eater
ng
980 ha.
nya.
2
Approximately 75% of the forests are less than 10,000 ha. and are distributed
mainly in the agricultural zone.
Monitoring the selected forests over a 13 year period revealed a loss
of 9853 hectares of forest cover to agriculture and exotic plantations.
This loss represents 16.5% of the initial forested area of 59797. Depletion
rates have been taking place at different rates in different forests. The
highest annual rate was 490 ha. for South Nandi forest, Kakamega forest
had a loss of 245 ha. per year while North Nandi lost 295 ha. per year
(Table 2, Figs. 1 # D).
The greatest loss of indigenous forest cover occured between 1972
and 1976. During this period South Nandi was depleted by 3,222 ha.,
Kakamega by 1,180 ha. and North Nandi by 1,630 hectares. This represent
18%, 8%, and 14% losses respectively for the areas observed in 1972.
The tiny forests of Ururu and Bunyala have been completely cut down and
replaced by exotic plantations. Between 1976 and 1980, the depletion rates
droped considerably (Table 2). A comparison between 1959 aerial photo
measurements and 1980 estimates from Landsat imagery for the Endau forest,
indicate a trend toward total replacement of forest cover with farmland
within the next 35 years if the present trend continues. The Ngong hills
have much the same problem but the causes are different. Here the 18 hec-
tares per year depletion rate has been due to selective cutting of trees
for wood and browsing of animals leading to the replacement of the former
forest with bushland of low potential value (Fig. 3). At the present trend
the remaining forest will be depleted within the next 30 years. The only
forest which has not been affected is Marsabit where the forest cover has
remained at 13,675 hectares over the past thirteen years.
In comparing the result between forests in the arid and semi-arid
areas and those in the agriculturally high potential areas indicate a
higher depletion rate for the agricultural area. This is the result of
different forms of depletion. Degradation processes described by Synnot
(1979) and FAO (1981) is dominant in the arid and semi-arid areas where
frequent fires, overgrazing and draught are the main causes of depletion.
In he agricultural areas deforestation due to the demand for wood products
and agricultural land of an increasing human population is the cause. In
the arid and semi-arid areas there is a potential for the forests to revert
to a stable state if appropriate action is taken in time. But in the
agricultural areas it is difficult to replace the indigenous forest once
it has been clear cut. The trend has been to replace the indigenous forest
with a plantation or to convert it into farm land.
It was also important to have some idea as to the accuracy of the
results. There were three main sources of error and in each case an attempt
was made to minimize them. Since the scale of the maps had to be changed
at least once with a reflecting projector it was estimated that approximately
a 1% error in scale occurred on each map. The area measurements were done
using a planimeter and major mistakes were eliminated by measuring each
forest area twice. A total of 400 measurements were made with some forest
being divided into several sections due to their size. On each measurement
there was a possible error of 10 hectares or a total of 0.3%. This was
substantiated on test areas where measurements were done numerous times.
The third and main error was due to imagery interpretation. A number of
images were four years old and had to be corrected by visual mapping from
a light aircraft. The resultant error was estimated to be 20 000 hectares
throughout. It was also important to have dry season scenes where forest
491
a A Se i
/ i 5 HEH ee Nm Tu
ED P He Ek RE
«Aj? (Odi NE s eR RE NERO A