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of such areas as Kenya's forests. Since 1972 the LANDSAT system has made data
avai lable that have the potential to be used for the purpose of forest manage-
ment and monitoring of forest cover changes in such regions as the Mau Forest
(Miller et al.,1978).
The objectives of this study are to demonstrate that: 1) Excision in
forested areas are discernible with LANDSAT data; 2) LANDSAT data can be used to
discriminate landcover types generally associated with land use of forest change;
3) forest change, using temporal LANDSAT data, is discernible on a regional basis
and 4) the Earth Resources Data Analysis System (ERDAS) 400 is a compact, viable
data processing system amenable to limited training and budgets of developing
nations for natural resources management in a cost effective and timely fashion.
METHODOLOGY
A. Study Site Selection: The study sites include the area between Lake
Nakuru and the town of Lumbwa (See Figure 2). This geographic region is still
heavily forested but plagued by some of the problems discussed earlier. One
prime reason for the selection of this particular area for this study is directly
related to the fact that one of the authors is intimately familiar with this part
of the world. Additionally, air photos of scattered parts of the study sites
were made available to serve as ground truth. However, the photos did not well
correlate with the LANDSAT data since the former did not represent one specific
season or even one specific year. The related problems will be discussed later.
B. Digital Analysis Procedures: Temporal LANDSAT data for the study site
was obtained for January 3, 1973 and December 31, 1978 (Path 181, Row 60).
These particular data sets were deemed suitable because they were virtually
cloud free, showed good vegetation vigor, coincided seasonally and the six year
interval was accepted by the authors as appropriate to adequately demonstrate
encroachment on forested lands. The data interval was selected on the basis of
readily available data and experience by the authors of monitoring revegetation
although in a very different geographic setting, namely land reclamation progress
in surface mine areas of east central Ohio (Bloemer et al., 1981; Witt et al.,
1982; Brumfield et al., 1981).
The areas of the previously described study sites were subset from both data
tapes (Mau West and Mau East) and reflect comparable areal extents. These sub-
scenes were transferred to floppy discs for digital data processing on the ERDAS
400. The ERDAS 400 is a complete, self-contained image processing and Geographic
Information microcomputer system based on the Z80 microprocessor. The hardware
of this system has dual eight-inch floppy drives, a high resolution color monitor
(512 by 480), and a matrix printer for hard copy output. The software package
consists of a basic operating system, a digital image processing sub-system
integrated with a geographic information system based IMGRID (ERDAS 400, 1982).
The programs are interactively menu driven to provide a relatively user friendly
environment. The digital data processing capabilities of the ERDAS ^00 provide
both supervised and unsupervised classification procedures. Due to lack of
timely ground truth, this study necessitated the application of a cluster algorithm
based unsupervised classification approach. (Bloemer et al., 1981) The cluster
algorithm was set to develop twenty-seven (27) spectral groups in the data. These
groups were correlated with land cover information and finally combined into three
land cover categories, namely forested, non-forested, and water.
C. Procedure for Monitoring Forest Change: The prime purpose of this study
is to determine the change of forest cover for the selected sites. For each of
the temporal data sets pixel counts were established for the respective land
cover categories and converted to acreages (pixel x 1.1). These acreages were
then compared for each land cover category for the two dates. The geographic
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