834
p*— — n 1 1 i 1
.10 .20 .30 .40 .50 .60 .70 .80 .90 1.0
POSITIVE PHOTOGRAPHIC DENSITY 2000 DEGREE DAY IMAGE
FIGURE 5. The probability density functions for 5 crop
types based upon the assumption of normality and the
distribution parameters obtained from sample data.
(Valid for purposes of this example only.)
Compare Figure 1 with Figure 5 in order to visualize the conversion of
raw descriptive data into crop-dependent probability density functions.
The statistical framework of the probabilistic key is based upon
Bayes Rule in the form:
p(X ) P(T|X )
(1) P(X IT) = i —
p(X.) P(T|x.)
where;
P(X^jT) is the conditional probability of crop type X given the set of
photo-density values T; p(X_^) is the probability that a field is crop type
X before considering any photo-densities, i.e., apriori probability of the
crop type;
and P(T|X_^) is equal to P(t^jX_^) P(t 2 |X^) where P(t^jX^)is the conditional
probability of photo-density t^ on late spring imagery given X_^ and
P(t 2 |X^ is the conditional probability of photo-density t^ on late summer
imagery given the same X.
The crop-dependent conditional probabilities P(t.|X„) are determined
over the range of (t) for each crop type by normalizing the respective
PDF and using a Z-score table (to fit the data to a normal distribution)
to evaluate the resultant standardized photo-density values with respect
to probability of occurence.