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from multi-date AVHRR data have been used for crop
yield modelling for wheat (Punjab, Dubey et al, 1991),
rice (Orissa) and sorghum (Maharashtra, Potdar 1993).
For cotton in Gujarat multi-date LISS-I data have been
used to generate spectral profiles. In-season yield
forecasts have not been possible using these models
because of their multidate data requirement, and (c)
Combination of different parameters like trend, RS and
meteorological parameters either by including all in a
multiple linear regression equation (wheat in Punjab,
UP) or by optimal combination of different estimates
(wheat in MP, mustard in Gujarat) has improved the
forecasts.
CROP YIELD MODELLING USING GIS
The use of GIS (alone or with RS data) for crop
yield modelling has not been adequately explored
although there is immense potential for this type of
linkage at all phases of yield modelling, i.e., preparatory,
modelling and output phase.
In the preparatory phase GIS is used for (a)
stratification/zonation for use in modelling using one or
more input layers (climate, soil, physiography, crop
dominance etc.) with model being run separately in each
homogenous region, or (b) preparing input data
(weather, soil and collateral data) which is available in
different formats to a common format for use in model.
This may involve interpolation or weather observations
to common grid, or use thiessen polygons (especially for
rainfall). In case of soils, pedotransfer functions convert
soil maps to inputs for use in models. The inputs could
be prepared separately for homogenous regions.
In the modelling phase the GIS linkage is mainly
through use of RS data in form of VI profiles or multi
layer modelling involving raster layers of crop
distribution. The detailed crop-weather models have a
soft-linkage with GIS and only interchange data files.
The final output phase also could involve use of
GIS either for (a) display of point forecasts in spatial
context, or (b) for aggregation and display of model
outputs for defined regions (e.g., administrative regions).
CASE STUDIES ON CROP YIELD MODELLING
USING GIS & RS INPUTS
(a) Crop Productivity Mapping by linking Crop
Simulation Data and RS inputs: Conese et al. (1986)
describe development of an integrated data bank of soil,
weather and RS data and its linkage with ACROM
model of crop growth simulation to produce maps of
crop productivity.
(b) The CROPCAST crop assessment system of Earth
Satellite Corporation (USA) operationally gives country/
continental scale assessments. The region is divided into
24/48 km grid cells and assignments made for soil,
cropping practices, crop phenology for each cell. Real
time RS and meteo-rological data are used to run crop
simulation and soil moisture budget models, whose
predictions are evaluated against RS observations to give
crop assessment.
(c) Global Information and Early Warning System
(GIEWS) of Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO)
of United Nations aims at providing early warning about
food security emergencies for the entire globe. This
assessment uses a wide variety of data including past
and projected agricultural production, weather and crop
growing conditions, potential food demand, food prices
etc. It also uses the ten day data about meteorological
and vegetation conditions from the ARTEMIS (Africa
Real-Time Environmental Monitoring using Imaging
Satellites). Marsh et al. (1993) describe development of
an integrated workstation where the various software
packages used for the above task (word processor,
spreadsheet, RDBMS, GIS and spatial analysis) are
linked together with a common interface to allow crop
assessment.
(d) Linking of Agroclimatic Yield Index and RS Inputs
for wheat yield modelling, Haryana, India: In this
approach spatial data layers (administrative map.
Irrigation map (percent of crop irrigated), Soil Texture
Map and Soil moisture map (water holding capacity) and
crop growing season temperature) were generated in
Arc/Info package and overlaid on each other to output an
agroclimatic yield index (AYI) by assigning weights to
the layers on the basis of their suitability for higher crop
yield. The yield model was a multiple regression
equation including both AYI and VI (area weighted
NIR/Red radiance ratios of wheat crop in 1991-92
season) which had higher coefficient of determination in
comparison to simple linear model consisting of VI only
(Sharma and Navalgund, 1995).
(e) CGMS under MARS Project, Europe: The MARS
(Monitoring of Agriculture with Remote Sensing) is an
ongoing project coordinated by ISPRA for European
Commission and includes a Crop Growth and
Monitoring System (CGMS) which is an agro-
meteorological modelling system to provide crop-state
assessments and yield forecasts using a GIS database.
The database forms an important component of the
system and uses ARC/Info to organise spatial data and
Oracle RDBMS to organise tabular data (Burill et al.,
1985). The databases include daily historical and current
meteorological data base covering 350 stations for 5-15
years, altitude, soil map and phase and attributes to
create moisture availability. The use of WOFOST for