ISPRS, Vol.34. Part 2W2, “Dynamic and Multi-Dimensional GIS". Bangkok, May 23-25, 2001
I
10 Jobs
51 km
O
49 km
CMI
2 km
10 Jobs
Figure 2. An Example of Two Job Sites and Two Resident Workers Sites
(Df ) is the weighted average of job proximity (Df ) of
various wage groups:
j wT
Di =2* f -Jr D ‘>■ (4)
8=I '
where g indexes individual wage groups (g=1,2,5), W| 9
is the number of workers of wage group g, and Wj is the total
number of workers in the TAZ.
MEASURING JOB ACCESSIBILITY
The job proximity index measures how far resident workers
are from their suitable jobs, but does not indicate their true
advantage of job access. Many factors may handicap one’s
ability to reach the jobs. The following job accessibility
measure intends to capture at least four factors: availability
of vehicles, existing road network, congestion in high-density
areas and competition for suitable jobs among workers.
(1) Basic Model
Hansen (1959) proposes a simple gravity model for
accessibility:
n
7=1
Hansen’s model only considers the supply of jobs. Shen
(1998) improves the measurement by adding the demand
side—job competition among workers. Job accessibility for
workers of a particular wage group g is:
*-s
7=1
v/
m
where vj .
k=l
(5)
The notations J, p and n have the same interpretations as in
the job proximity index (1), and m is the number of resident
worker locations. In this study, either m (number of worker
sites) or n (number of job sites) is 882, the total number of
TAZS, though some TAZS have no resident workers (W k =0)
or no jobs (Jj=0). This new index re-scales Hansen’s
accessibility to a job location j by the location’s job
competition intensity (Vj 9 ), and V, 9 is this job location’s
potential with regard to all workers competing for the jobs
(W k , k=1, m). Since job accessibility emphasizes a
worker’s ability of obtaining a job by overcoming various
barriers, d is measured by travel time instead of air distance.
Similar, g indexes wage groups (g=1, 2, 5), thus
accessibility to jobs of a particular wage group (other than
low-wage jobs), both workers (W k 9 ) and jobs (Jj 9 ) in equation
(5) are limited to those within the wage group g.
The job accessibility for low-wage workers (A ( 1 ) involves
additional complexity, and will be discussed in a separate
sub-section. Equation (5) is used to compute job
accessibility for workers of the other four wage groups (A, 2 ,
A, 3 , A 4 and Aj 5 ). The larger the value of A, the better job
accessibility the resident workers enjoy.
(2) Estimating Travel Times
One important task of implementing the job accessibility
measure is to estimate travel times between TAZs. Let’s first
focus on travel times by drove-alones who account for the
majority of commuters. The CTPP Part 3 provides the actual
travel times between TAZs where there were commuting
trips in 1990 (i.e., 51,021 origin-destination TAZ pairs). The
accessibility index in equation (5) uses travel times between
all possible origin-destination TAZs (i.e., 882x882=777,924
TAZ pairs). Estimating these travel times is implemented in
three steps. Each step is an improvement over the previous
one.
The first step is to use GIS network modeling techniques to
simulate the shortest travel times through a network
composed of all roads (including neighborhood roads),
where speed limits serve as travel impedance values. See
Wang (2000) for details.
One noticeable shortcoming in step 1 is that the simulated
travel times are only between the centroids of TAZs, and
assume that the travel time within a TAZ itself (intrazonal
travel time) is 0. This is not a realistic assumption. The
second step attempts to better define intrazonal travel times.
Based on the 519 intrazonal commute trips in the study area,
the average travel time within a TAZ is 11.3 minutes.
Research reveals that the intrazonal travel times are not
necessarily related to the area sizes of TAZs. The 11.3
minutes may include the time a commuter spends on starting
the car at the beginning of the trip and finding a parking
space at the end of the trip or even the time spent on
walking to the office. It is part of the “mental time” of a whole
trip reported in the census survey forms. Adding the
intrazonal time to the GIS-derived travel times between
centroids yields the revised travel time estimations (d e ).
Among the 51,021 existing commute trips in the study area,
the average of d e is 25.63 minutes, very close to the average
of real travel times 25.27 minutes. The two have a
correlation coefficient of 0.632 (i.e., R 2 =0.399). Considering
the large sample of observations (n=51,021), it is a
remarkable good fit.
The final step improves the estimation d e by taking into the
account of congestions at both the residential (trip origin)
and workplace TAZs (trip destination) 1 . Adding the density of
resident workers at the origin TAZ (DEN wk ) and density of
jobs at the destination (DEN jb ) (both in per km 2 ) as
predictors, the regression yields a R 2 of 0.409 (n=51,021):
d = 1.7152+0.7838 d e +0.000485DEN wk +0.0000415 DEN jb .
(12.79) (183.39) (9.11) (28.52)
All explanatory variables are significant at 0.0001 (t-values
are in the parentheses). The coefficients of density variables
may appear small. In fact, in the study area, the TAZ with the
maximum residential density of 7,627 workers/km 2 adds 3.7
minutes to the trip, and the TAZ with the maximum job
density of 178,200 jobs/km 2 adds 7.4 minutes to the trip.
Such additions are too significant to be neglected.
This simple approach considers possible congestions only
at the two ends of a trip. Considering traffic congestions
during the whole trip would require the usage of more
complicated traffic simulation packages which demand
details of road network coding (e.g., lane capacity, traffic
signal system, residential demographics and business
types). That is not feasible for the research.
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