ISPRS, Vol.34, Part 2W2, “Dynamic and Multi-Dimensional GIS”, Bangkok, May 23-25, 2001
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Table 1. Concentration of Contaminants in the monitoring well
Contaminant Name
Concentration (mg/L)
Benzene
0.31
Ethyl-Benzene
0.0004
Toluene
0.1
Xylenes
0.039
Fuzzy Risk Assessment
In the majority of the past and existing risk assessment
projects, Federal and statewide environmental guidelines are
widespreadly used as the basis of environmental quality
evaluation criteria. The Comprehensive Environmental
Response, Compensation and Liability Act (CERCLA)
authorized the federal government to respond directly to
releases of hazardous substances that may endanger public
health, welfare and the environment. In addition, The National
Oil and Hazardous Substances Pollution Contingency Plan
establishes a framework for implementing CERCLA by
outlining the process for developing and evaluation appropriate
response action for Superfund Sites. And USEPA has also
developed risk assessment procedures to address the public
health concerns and to ensure that Superfund response
actions limit the concentration of hazardous substances in the
environment to avoid unacceptable risks to human health
(USEPA, 1986). In practical site management, however, these
guidelines are mostly conservative and sometimes impractical.
Normally, slope factor, is a chemical-specific constant that
describes the carcinogenicity of a compound. It generally
derived from animal experiments data and is widely applied to
estimate human risk accused by the toxic contaminants
(USEPA, 1989). This interspecies conversion factor is a simple
number based on the plausible assumption that these toxicities
are as harmful to the human being as what they applied to the
animals. Because of the assumptions made and methodology
used in its derivation, SF values estimated are inherently
uncertainty involved. Evidently, serious uncertainty problems
exist between the contaminant exposure and potentiality of
causing human health cancer risk. A quantitative method,
therefore, is required to be employed.
(1) Fuzzy Set Theory
Fuzzy set were first introduced in 1965 by Lotfi Zadeh (1965)
to describe imprecisely defined classes or sets that play an
important role in human thought processes and
communication. In essence, the theory of fuzzy sets is aimed
at the development of a body of concepts and techniques for
dealing with sources of uncertainty or imprecision that are non-
statistical in nature. In classical set theory, an object either
belongs to a set or does not, whereas fuzzy set theory allows
an object to have partial membership of a set. Using fuzzy
sets, it is possible to represent a set A by a membership
function value.
The theory of fuzzy sets deals with sets in a universe of
discourse U. A fuzzy set x e U is a generalization of the
concept of an ordinary set; it is being defined by membership
function
X = l4“x xe R,M x w 6 l 0 ’ 1 ]} ( 3 )
x is a particular value of X; ¡j x (*) represents a membership
function of X. interval [0,1]. The closer ^ ( JC ) is to 1, the more
“certain” one is about the value of x.
Fig. 1 (a) and (b) Types of fuzzy membership functions
Fig.1 presents two types of fuzzy membership functions
(triangular and trapezoidal) for illustrating uncertainties
associated with an parameter. For example, The triangular
membership function means that (i) X is most likely equal to C,
and (ii) values lower than a or greater than b are consider
impossible for X. A membership function is normally defined
based on characteristics of the uncertain information.
Fuzzy logic can be considered as a generalization of the
Boolean logic, by extended Boolean logic to handle the notion
of partial-truth-truth-values between and including 'completely
true' and 'completely false'. Fuzzy logic uses a soft linguistic
type of variables, which are defined by continuous range of
truth-values or fuzzy membership functions in the interval [0, 1]
instead of the strict binary (T or F) decisions and assignments.
It is the best tool to analyses and simplifies data, which
characterized by vague conception or are subjective by
incorporation of fuzzy sets (Zadeh,1965).
(2) Fuzzy Relations
Fuzzy relationships between fuzzy variables defined on
different universes of discourse through the fuzzy conditional
statement or linguistic implication
X=>Y or “if X (u) then Y (v)”
Which links the conditional or antecedent set X defined by
H A ( u ), u e U with the consequence or output set Y defined
by //g(v),ve V ■
[/
R =
{x y) c X x Y l as Cartesian product of
XxY, is called a fuzzy relation on XxY.
Let A={ai\i = U2,...m) be a m-dimension fuzzy vector and
r = {rij\i = 1,2,...m; j -1,2,...«] be a mxn fuzzy relation matrix.
Then an m-dimension fuzzy vector /? can be obtained as:
According to the principle of fuzzy set operation, g can be
determined by a max-min or max-* composition (Zimmermann,
1985). For the max-min composition,
(5)
For the max-* composition,
ÜU*r«
(6)
(3) Fuzzy Risk Analysis
Two fuzzy sets U for toxic contaminants and V for different age
group are initially defined as following: