844
Table 2. Terrain and land cover characteristics of the five study areas (Source: U.S. Department
of the Interior, 1970, The National Atlas of the United States of America).
Area
Mean
heiqht(m)
Land-surface
form
1. St. Joseph, Mo.
346
irregular plains
2. Mobile, Al.
67
irregular plains
3. Tallulah, La.
30
flat plains
4. Louisville, Ky.
247
open hills
5. Starling, Co.
1,369
irregular plains
Vegetation
Land
Soil tvoe
cover
use
Mollisols
(Udolls)
Oak-hickory
mostly
cropland
Ultisols
pine
forests and
woodland grazed
Inceptisols
oak-gum-
cypress
cropland with
pasture
Alfisols
Oak-hickory
woodland with
some cropland
and pasture
Mollisols
(Ustolls)
pine
grassland and
grazing land
Table 3. Population estimation using area as input to a linear regression
model and an allometric growth model
Linear: P --
Area
a + bA
r*
a
b
Allometric
log P = log a
r* Ioga
+ b log A
b
(1)
St. Joseph, Mo.
0.648
-3921.41
27.78
0.896
-0.5854
1.5940
(2)
Mobile, Al.
0.973
-2516.13
116.87
0.828
1.1595
1.2620
(3)
Tallulah, La.
0.706
291.65
14.82
0.742
1.3861
0.9004
(4)
Louisville, Ky.
0.728
3431.46
8.05
0.867
2.3190
0.5781
(5)
Sterling, Co.
0.985
-254.99
14.87
0.814
0.2057
1.2724
*r = correlation coefficient,- all significant at a level of 5 percent
or below
helps to explain why in the case of the North
China Plain even very small villages can still be
detected (Fig. 2). The high degree of compactness
of these formerly walled Chinese settlements made
them good corner reflectors to radar signals.
Another observation is that the detectability of
the settlements appeared to be affected also by
the nature of the geographic region (Table 1).
The Gulf Atlantic Coastal Plain region came out to
be the worst of all four regions while the Great
Plains region was the best. To assist further in
understanding the effect of terrain characteris
tics and land cover types on the detectability of
settlements. Table 2 was compiled. It appeared
that mean terrain heights, soil types, and land
use were important factors. High terrain,
irregular plains, Mollisols (soils with nearly
black, organic-rich surface horizon) with grass
land and grazing land of the Sterling, Colorado
strip in the Great Plains (Fig. 7) seemed to
provide favorable conditions for the detection of
settlements. On the other hand, the low, forest
covered terrain and the lowlying alluvial plain of
the Mississippi river covered with cropland on
Inceptisols (wet soils with weakly differentiated
horizons) were unfavorable (Fig. 5). These
environmental conditions have probably affected
the settlement-background contrast, thus making
the detection difficult.
4.2 Accuracy of settlement area measurement and
population estimation
An important application of the SIR-A data is to
determine the area and population size of the
human settlements detected. A commonly employed
method is to measure the areas of these settle
ments and then input them into a mathematical
model linking area (A) with population (?). A
popular model is the allometric growth model in
the form of log P = log a + b log A (Lo and Welch,
1977). In the present research, the area of each
settlement was first measured with 1-mm square
grid's directly- from the SIR-A images and then from
the 1:250,000 scale, topographic map. It was found
that the image area and map area of the individual
settlements exhibited a very strong correlation of
0.92 at 0.01 per cent level of significance.
However, it was observed that all the measured
image areas were exaggerated by a factor of 1.5X
from the actual map areas. This may be caused by
some human errors in measurement, but careful
inspection revealed that more significantly the
strong radar backscatter had produced a glare
which tended to exaggerate the size of the
settlement. It was fortunate that this
exaggeration appeared to be constant and could be
easily corrected.
Despite some discrepancy in time, the 1980
population figures of these settlements in
different regions were correlated with measured
image areas first in the form of a linear
regression model and then in the form of the
allometric growth model mentioned above. The
results (Table 3) indicated overall strong
relationship between population and area in the
allometric growth model for all regions. It is
noteworthy, however, that in Mobile, Al. (Fig. 4)
and Sterling, Co. (Fig. 7) regions much stronger
relationship existed with the linear regression
model than the allometric growth model, a
suggestion that the rate of settlement growth
might have been faster in these two regions than
in the others. These results indicated that
settlement population estimation using settlement
area as an independent variable could produce
reasonably accurate results.
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