543
The LANDSAT-based estimates on the order of 21 x10 3 sq.km/year for
the past decade, or 26x10 3 sq.km/year for 1989, represent the most reliable
values at present for the forest clearing rate in Brazilian Amazonia.
We emphasize that the average rate for 1978/1989 does not imply
that the pace of deforestation was constant over this period. Although the data
for intermediate years reported by other Brazilian agencies are not as complete
as those for the end-points, they suggest that the rate increased through about
1987, after which it tapered off (in part due to heavy rainfall during the 1989
burning season). This confirms subjective impressions of deforestation activity
in the region over this period.
Translating information on deforestation rates into releases of
greenhouse gases requires knowledge of the spatial distribution of the clearing,
the corresponding spatial distribution of vegetation types and their respective
biomasses and the biomass of replacement vegetation, as well as the fate of
biomass and soil carbon under prevailing agricultural and ranching practices in
cleared areas (Fearnside, 1990b). Studies of these factors indicate annual
carbon releases on the order of 0.3 gigatons (Fearnside, nd-b).
Although deforestation rates in Brazilian Amazonia are much lower
than some have believed, the pace of forest loss remains high. Among other
impacts, Amazonian deforestation makes a significant contribution to the global
greenhouse effect.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
We thank Joao Roberto dos Santos and Eliana Maria Kalil Mello for
reanalysis of the 1978, 1988 and 1989 datasets, Alberto Waingort Setzer for
comments on the manuscript, and Marcio Nogueira Barbosa for critically
reviewing the manuscript and, in particular, for pointing out the special
difficulties associated with the skewed distribution of dates in the 1988 data set.