In: Wagner W., Székely, B. (eds.): ISPRS TC VII Symposium - 100 Years ISPRS, Vienna, Austria, July 5-7, 2010, IAPRS, Vol. XXXVIII, Part 7B
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grass ETo into crop potential évapotranspiration (ETc),
which is a function of phenological phases, crop species and
variety, plant architecture and leaf area. In our research we
used the soybean Kc values proposed by Allen et al. (1998).
The main soil types for these locations are: Alfisol (Candido
de Abreu and Cerro Azul) and Oxisol (Ponta Grossa,
Jaguariaiva and Telemaco Borba). Soybean water balance
was performed at daily time steps for each location and each
year (2000-2007). The water balance was also adjusted
according to soybean phenology. November 15 th was adopted
as the main sowing date in this region (Geosafras, 2007).
Outputs of potential évapotranspiration (PE), actual
évapotranspiration (AE), soil moisture storage (SME), water
deficit (DEF) and water excess (EXC) were thus obtained on
a daily time step. However, in this study, only actual
évapotranspiration was considered and it was necessary to
aggregate the above outputs to 16-day means in order to
compare them with the MODIS NDVI data.
4. RESULTS
4.1 Rainfall anomalies
Figure 1 contains rainfall anomalies for each location and
year from 2000 to 2007. Although state of Parana generally
has a seasonal pattern of precipitation, such as, rainy summer
and dry winter, it is important to point out the significant
rainfall variation for all time series and for each year
separately. Due to its location in Southern Brazil, this state is
influenced by several macro-climatic factors, such as,
migration of air equatorial and tropical masses from Atlantic
in summer months; cold air masses (polar front) that come
from the South of the continent, (Wrege et al., 1999), and dry
air masses from Midwest Brazil, which can bring warm and
relative dry weather. So, all this condition leads to high
rainfall variability, in terms of amount of rainfall
(millimeters) and number of rainy days (frequency). This
weather variability influences the agriculture in this region,
thus affecting crop productivity. Rainfall anomalies revealed
occurrence of drought episodes from 2000 to 2007, but more
significantly during 2004/05 year in Candido de Abreu, Cerro
Azul and Ponta Grossa locations. This situation was reported
by CONAB (2005) which mention a 7.1% yield loss in
relation to the previous year yields, in the state of Parana.
4.2 NDVI temporal analysis
The different phenological stages of soybeans were identified
with the NDVI temporal series from 2000 to 2007 for each
location (Figure 2). Growth starts around mid November
when soybean is planted and the cycle ends in March when
the soybean is harvested. A similar pattern was observed for
all years and locations indicating that the pixels selected for
the analysis were indeed soybean pure-pixels. In 2004/2005 a
drop in NDVI values was observed in three locations,
according to rainfall anomaly values for Candido de Abreu,
Cerro Azul and Ponta Grossa (Figure 1). Rainfall occurrence
was low in January and mid February, which coincides with
the peak of the reproductive stage of soybean in the study
region. Actual évapotranspiration curves presented high
values in December, January and mid-February, specially
during soybean flowering and grain formation phases and it
seems that NDVI response tends to follow this more realistic
situation, in terms of biophysical condition, than rainfall
occurrence.
i) Candido de Abreu
Anomalie! Rainfall poou-.'lKU}
Candido dv Abreu
iii) Jaguariaiva
Anomalies - Rainfall (2000-2007)
jaguariaiva
—
•MIA;
¡own
2003/04
2004/05
2005/00 2006/07
—
*
*
v) Telemaco Borba
Figure 1. Rainfall anomalies for each year (2000-2007),
during soybean growing season and for locations: i) Candido
de Abreu; ii) Cerro Azul; iii) Jaguariaiva; iv) Ponta Grossa; v)
Telemaco Borba.
4.3 Linear regression analyses for all time series
Analyses indicated that the simple regression of NDVI with
Actual Evapotranspiration (AE) showed much higher R 2
values than the regressions of NDVI in relation to rainfall
(Figure 3). Despite this observed decrease in NDVI values
during the Jan-Feb 2005 rainfall deficit period, we found
better agreement between NDVI and AE. May be due to the