Full text: Technical Commission IV (B4)

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International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensin 
g and Spatial Information Sciences, Volume XXXIX-B4, 2012 
XXII ISPRS Congress, 25 August — 01 September 2012, Melbourne, Australia 
UNDERSTANDING THE PAST, MANAGING THE FUTURE 
Remotely sensed analysis of the urban sprawl of Istanbul for supporting decision making for a sustainable future 
Orhan Altan !, Gerhard Kemper? 
1: Istanbul Technical University / Turkey 
2: GGS - Geotechnik, Geoinformatik & Service GmbH, Speyer / Germany 
KEY WORDS: Human Settlement, Change Detection, Understanding, GIS, Multitemporal, Geography 
ABSTRACT: 
The GIS based analysis of the land use change of Istanbul delivers a huge and comprehensive database that can be used for further 
analysis. Trend analysis and scenarios enable a view to the future that highlights the needs for a proper planning. Also the 
understanding via comparison to other cities assists in order not to copy errors from other cities. GIS in combination with ancillary 
data open a wide field for managing the future of Istanbul. 
1. BACKGROUND 
A number of megacities have been analysed to quantify their 
growth in various international research projects. One of them 
was the "Moland" (Monitoring Landuse Dynamic) Project. Its 
aim was to compare more than 30 urban areas of Europe to 
understand common and specific key-actions that influence the 
how's and why's of the urban growth. The use of a standardized 
legend with more than 60 classes and the selection of a similar 
times window enabled a direct correlation of the results. Also 
the city of Istanbul has been selected for a project to detect and 
understand the growth of the city within the last 60 years. The 
years 1945, 1968, 1988 and 2000 were selected and aerial 
photographs, satellite photographs and satellite data evaluated 
in combination with ancillary data as maps, statistics and many 
more. 
To achieve these results, image georeferencing, orthorectifi- 
cation, pansharping and many other tools of photogrammetry 
Where used to get a geometric reliable data basis. Accuracy 
investigations are part of the quality management. The final 
extraction of homogenise land use pattern was done by manual 
digitizing and interpretation. However, also automatic 
classification methods have been tested and compared with the 
manual interpretation. A difficult task was the combination of 
spatial land-use data with ancillary data sources e.g. census 
information. Some interesting additional results were generated 
from this step. 
The results show both, the sprawl in common and the class 
Specific changes within the city. In combination with census 
data and other data, a complex special and semi special 
understanding of the reasons for Istanbul’s sprawl was 
performed. 
As a first result, Istanbul is compared with other cities within 
the Moland Project. This shows how different European cities 
developed within this period. Then also a wider analysis was 
done to compare Istanbul in a worldwide context. Not just the 
validation of the analysed data, also scenarios derived from 
trend analysis are made in order to compare Istanbul in a world 
Wide context of mega cities. 
Te results, however, must become part of decision making and 
planning and management of Istanbul’s future. For what can 
these information and data be used? 
First of all, as followed on the derived spatial database in GIS 
environment, city planning with the establishment of 
Sustainable master plans is the logic next step. The trend 
analysis and the estimation of sprawl axis assist to prevent 
Istanbul against an uncontrolled grow. 
But also infrastructural development especially transport 
facilities is extremely important. Still, the construction of a 
public transport is far behind the actual needs. The trend of the 
urban sprawl gives information where and when infrastructural 
facilities are needed. 
As a social aspect, the development inside the city is important 
to prevent Istanbul against social conflicts like ghettos, high 
contrast of poor and rich areas and slope of the social balance. 
We already can detect social misbalance in the urban structure. 
Istanbul is placed on a tectonically risky zone, earthquakes and 
tsunamis can hit the city and therefore a Disaster Management 
System is to be established. The actual urban structure, the 
information of the infrastructure, social aspects must become 
part of a crisis preparedness plan, a well trained disaster alert 
system and the final disaster management. 
To have a good urban climate in Mega cities is a problematic 
task today. As a part of a sustainable development, most 
industrial plants have been moved to the suburb areas, however, 
they are again surrounded today by residential areas with high 
buildings that hamper the exchange of fresh air. The 
development trend, the urban structure in combination with 
meteorological models can assist to better the situation in 
future. 
Cultural heritage is an important factor of Istanbul's tourist 
business. The urban sprawl influences the environment of 
cultural heritage sites and can increase the risk of such objects. 
Changes of the silhouette already shows negative very clearly 
but also infrastructural facilities and air pollution create a 
negative influence on such objects. The risk that buildings 
create to damage on cultural objects due to bad construction in 
combination with earthquakes is another important factor. 
There are several more applications that can be presented to 
show, how GIS analysis on urban dynamics assist to understand 
the mechanism of urban sprawl and their influence on various 
activities of the cities development. 
2. LANDUSE DYNAMIC OF ISTANBUL 
The project MOLAND for Istanbul has been a co-operation 
between the technical university of Istanbul (ITU), the company 
GGS in Germany and funded by the European commission 
through the JRC in Ispra / I. The first goal was the detection of 
335 
 
	        
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