The results of the 1976-77 phase of for comparison are the estimates released 
  
  
  
LACIE with its modified approach indicated by the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service 
that the accuracy goals were achieved in in their regularly published Foreign 
the U.S.S.R., where the technology was Agriculture Circular. Throughout 1977, 
| able to identify the shortfall in the several implementation problems and data 
| spring wheat crop 3 months before comple- processing backlogs were encountered, 
| tion of harvest. Similar results were These problems resulted in some estimation 
| achieved in the winter wheat regions of error, over and above that which would 
| the U.S.S.R. As shown in figure 12, be encountered in a smoothly functioning 
| initial LACIE estimates in August were operational system of the future. Faulty 
| within 6% of the Soviet's January 28 data acquisition orders led to the loss 
figure of 92 MMT, and LACIE final esti- of Landsat acquisitions over a portion of 
mates, released on January 23, for total the Soviet winter wheat region, In 
wheat production were within 1%. Shown December 1977, these problems were 
120r 
ok OFFICIAL SOVIET 
wmEB LACIE IN—-SEASON RELEASES 
wu LACIE RECOMPUTED ESTIMATES 
115 .- =: an ı FAS 
10} e? 
^ e 
| $ *, 
| 2 », . 
| = 
® *. 105 
Eg 105 
t w, 
| , "t 100 
| 100 i- b! 99.1 
| 
| 
| 95 |- 
, FINAL 
. 92.3 a 916 *, SOVIET 92 
ds 
/ 9° apr Pr a a rar, 91.4 
sk 89.1 P % FINAL 
: v 90 LACIE 
ie 
| Ly; À L 1 | 1 J 
| Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Final 
| Jan - Feb 
1977 1978 
Figure 12.— LACIE estimates of 1977 Soviet wheat production. 
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