734
these proceedures provide the only flow estimates
against which those obtained from LANDSAT imagery can
be compared.
An estimate of the return period of the 1979 rain
fall was made, as was an estimate of the flow peaks
of the 1979 event, as obtained from the unit hydro
graphs. An interesting conformity was seen and is
presented below in table 2.
Table 2. Rainfall and synthesised flow peak return
periods
Station
Rainfall
Peak flow
Non-floodplain
station I
II
years
9.3
years
Non-floodplain
station 2
9
years
8.5
years
Big F'alls
Ranch
9
years
3.7
x 10 years
Bermudan
Landing
9
year's
9.6
x IC? years
Davis
Bank
9
years
9.2
x years
In all cases, rainfall returns approximated to nine
years as did the flows of the non-floodplain stations.
In contrast, the floodplain stations' return periods
were extremely high.
It was clear that by applying a nine years return
limit to the hydrographs of the floodplain stations,
a good estimate of their true maximum discharges for
the 1979 event could be found. The difference between
this and the synthesised flood flow would provide
estimates of loss from the Belize river to the flood-
plain. Table 5 below presents these losses and also
includes a value of the runoff contribution from the
floodplain catchment (Fiddes 1977)«
Table 5. Belize river losses to the floodplain
Station
Loss (m^) to floodplain
Big Falls Ranch
Bermudan Landing
Davis Bank
0.63 x 10
1.48 x 10
2.02 x 10
Local catchment
contribution
1.04 x 10
Total Flood Volume
5.37 x 10
8
While these values cannot be substantiated by other
means and are obtained from a series of calculation
methods, these methods are based on well tried
hydrological principals. F'rom the study of the flow
hydrographs of the 1979 event it was apparent that
the LANDSAT scene was taken between 14 and 16 days
after the start of the flooding which first occured
at or around Big Falls Ranch.
2.3. LANDSAT estimates of the 1979 flood
Preliminary investigations of the LANDSAT flood scene
showed that slides of computer compatible tapes
could provide the most information if projected at a
scale of 1:30,000. Ground control point measurements
were made to assess the distortional effects of the .
projections and indicated that while they were indeed
present, they were not great. It was not possible to
identify these distortional effects in terms of their
vertical and horizontal components due to the distri
bution of the ground control points. The overall rel
ationship of the distortions can be described by:
Map scale = 0.99898 + 0.00283 x Slide scale
F'rom 1:50,000 scale topographic maps, spot heights
were transposed onto the base map obtained from the
LANDSAT flood scene. Sufficient were present at the
flood margins to identify a maximum flood level of
between six and seven metres above sea level. The
overall extent was estimated as 265.6 square km. Not
all the flood extent was observable due to the dense
vegetation cover and the maximum level was extrapola
ted to identify flooded areas under dense vegetation.
Sufficient spot heights to provide average flood
depths, were present only in the basinal areas close
to permanent lagoons. This depth was three metres,
obtained from cross-sections through the area but the
consideration of the wider spread of spot heights
indicated an average flood depth of two metres, or
possibly less.
In these circumstances, a range of depth/volume est
imates were made to provide a comparison with that
obtained by the flow hydrograph study. They are given
below in table 4•
Table 4. LANDSAT estimated flood volumes
r lood depths (metres)
-z
Flood volumes (nr )
1.5
3.98 x 10®
5.3I x 10°
2.0
2.5
6.63 x 10°
3.0
7.97 x 10
hydrograph
estimate
5.I3 x I0 b
It can be seen that the estimates from both sources
are close and while no direct ground measurement of
the flood is available, the correlation is clear. It
is possible that during the later stages of the flood
process, that water could flow back to the Belize
river. However, the observation of the floodwater
distribution shows it concentrated in the area of the
river still in active flood, the area providing 85%
of the floodwater. Any return to the river is likely
to have been relatively small.
3. THE LOWER FLOODPLAIN
3.I LANDSAT investigations
The information of flood plain inundation can be
summarised, as obtained from the LANDSAT scene, by
figure I. The identification of both source and dist
ribution can be made, as can the areas of its influe
nce upon the Western highway. In the lower floodplain
river flows are not recorded, spot height information
is very restricted and so flood estimates are not
attempted. The distribution of the floodwaters and
their effects on the Western highway is the most
significant factor under study.
While local catchment and Belize river contributions
to flooding have been identified, the lower floodplain
is shared with the Sibun river, another source of
floodwater. Figure I shows the areas of flooding as
presented by false colour composite slides. The posi
tion of the flooding- can be located to about + 150
metres according to ground resolution and slide dist-
-17° 50' N
Figure I.
ortion con
not easily
Belize riv
around the
contributi
tions. The
lagoons (a
is clearly
spread sou
spread as
image proc
nnels, foe
Band 7» un
and manipu
ing. A his
ined and t
boundaries
severity w
of lagoon
within the
features a
river was
Figures 2
tches, res
ibutions o
4, 5 and 6
taken by t
any contri