Pl-5-3
Where,
ji(t) equals the ratio of new job opening relative to
the number of accumulated job aspirants in period t
and calculated as
jr(t) = Y Nu(t)/(N(t)-N u (t)) (4)
Where,
y: Rate of growth of employment in the urban
sector (y = A.-p, k is rate of growth of
industrial output and p is rate of labor
productivity growth).
N: Total urban labor force
N u : Employed labor force in urban sector. (Cole
and Sanders, 1985)
This basic concept of Todaro model was further
elaborated and extended by Harris and Todaro (1970)
and this model become popular by the name of
Harris-Todaro (HT) model.
There are several critiques on this model. According
to Yap (1977), besides wage and unemployment rate,
degree of urbanization, spatial distance and flow of
information have log linear relationship with
migration. Fields (1975) extended HT model by
considering the allowances for more generalized job-
search behavior, an urban traditional sector,
preferential hiring by educational level and labor
turnover considerations.
Similarly, there are several literatures on migration
where the HT model has been referred argued and
criticized. Most of the comments are positive and
several additional factors, which are considered as
the reason for migration, were pointed out. Still most
of them agree with the essence of the model.
3 PRESENT CONCEPT AND PROBLEMS
The model addresses the wage difference and the
unemployment and, in general, the critiques are
mostly related to the economic factors. There is not
any alternative model along with empirical
verification to address this problem. Little
consideration of the rural sector, where most of the
migration originated, can be seen every where.
Therefore, it might be reasonable to consider the
following topics: •
• Spatial concern of migration should be paid
attention.
• Why the migration originated from the rural
area? Is the high urban wage is sole cause for the
pull force? What is real push force of the rural
sector?
• The empirical study of the cause of rural-urban
migration and lack of suitable data for such
study.
• Rural and urban amenities and the concept of
RDP, that is Regional Development Potential,
may have some correlation in migration
decision. There are two aspects of the RDP that
are natural and institutional potentiality, which
again includes a list of parameters. For example
the soils, water, forest, infrastructure volume,
population.
Todaro model is robust model while considering its
theoretical aspect, but the validation of the model
with enough empirical data is itself a question. In
developing countries, the lack of data is another
problem. Furthermore, Todaro model is formulated
by considering wage rates, which some times do not
reflect the real income of the agrarian community.
This is very important, especially, when the majority
of the population are engaged in the sustainable
agriculture, that is the labor force on the farm is
provided mainly from the family. Besides this, the
farming practices are also not specialized with any
particular crop or animal.
4 CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK OF THE
STUDY
The socioeconomic (more specifically economic)
reason and the natural resources condition of the rural
area are the two different aspect which should paid
attention while trying to solve the problem of
migration with policy intervention. There are many
other factors, like amenities, regional disparity etc.;
which also influence, directly or indirectly, the
migration decision. Based on the conceptual
framework as shown in Fig. 1, for developing
countries like Thailand, the migration model will be
formulated.
The real income (wage) of the agrarian society
depends directly on the agricultural production which
intern depends upon the soil productivity.
Furthermore, soil productivity depends upon the soil
fertility, which is the function of several parameters.
The wage philosophy here is not any fixed wage for
some region from some institute, rather it is the wage
that comes from the farm where the family member
had worked. With income theory, the rural income is
wage plus property (land) income. Thus the rural
income is the function of agriculture production and
can be written as:
Ir = fVr+f(A p S p Sp) (5)
Where,
I r : Rural income.