P1-5-5
Here the potentiality of remote sensing and GIS will
be utilized to generate some of required data. Land
covers dynamics will help to see the soil loss pattern.
From soil loss, the agriculture productivity dynamics
can be studied which leads for the estimation of the
rural wage trend in real sense. This will help to see
the rural urban (will be fetch out from secondary
data) wage difference. The regional and/or provincial
flow of migration, socioeconomic status, natural and
artificial regional development potential and
amenities will be analyzed with the help of secondary
data. This will leads to establish and formulate the
model. The data, which will be used in this study,
are:
• Land use map, 1990, 1:500,000, Dept, of Land
Development (DLD).
• Land use map, 1980, Global Engineering lab,
IIS, The University of Tokyo.
• Land use map, 1999, will be derived from
NOAA LAC AVHRR data.
• Digital Elevation Model, Road and River
network from 1:250,000 RTSD Topo Maps, Soil
Information from soil map (varied scale) of DLD
• Meteorological data and other various
socioeconomic statistical data form different
government and INGOs institutes.
In most of the developing countries, including
Thailand, there is always lack of suitable data for
desirable studies. In this study, the lack of temporal
variation in the land use pattern and the updated soil
fertility assessment are the main data constraint. As
explained earlier, the rural income largely depends
upon the soil fertility.
5 PRELIMINARY RESULTS
At present stage, small volume of data has been
analyzed to see the preliminary trend of some
variables, which are going to be used in the proposed
model. The analysis has been done by taking the
provinces (CHANGWAT) as a unit and the results
are summarized by the region. According TEI
(1997), Thailand is divided into 76 provinces and six
regions NRD2C coding scheme (Fig.3).
There are lots of variations among the regions. For
example, the per capita income gap between the
regions is considerably high. The northern and
northeastern regions have wider gap as compared to
other regions. The central region enjoyed the highest
rate of per capita income (Fig. 4)
The provincial migration pattern has been analyzed
from 1955 to 1990. The total net in migration has
been observed at the central and eastern regional
provinces, which seems to be taken out from north
and northeastern provinces. The west and southern
provinces has little overall share in the in and out
flow. The share of the movement fluctuates largely
with the time but the general pattern showed the
widening up the migration. The summarized
migration is shown in Figure 5.
The all time increase in the provincial wage rate
(present value) has been observed through out the
country. The central, southern and eastern provinces
lie above the national average, while northern and
northeastern provinces lie, considerably, below. The
western provinces are at the margin of the national
average (Figure 6).
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Figure 3: Map of the Thailand Showing Regions
Figure 4: Per Capita Income by Region, 1994 (NSO, 1996)